Streams

Nate Silver

Blogger, FiveThirtyEight.com

Nate Silver appears in the following:

Nate Silver: Forecasts and Odds

Friday, November 02, 2012

Statistician and FiveThirtyEight blogger for The New York Times Nate Silver talks about forecasting elections, and the weather, plus his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't.

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Forecasting Tuesday

Friday, November 02, 2012

Less than a week before the election, many observers across the political spectrum say that they believe a victory for President Obama is highly likely. Others say that it's reckless to predict the future with any kind of certainty. Nate Silver of the New York Times FiveThirtyEight blog explains to Brooke the difference between forecasting and fortune-telling, and defends his belief that an Obama win seems probable. 

Grizzly Bear & Feist - Service Bell

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Nate Silver on Making Predictions

Monday, October 08, 2012

Nate Silver looks at how predictions are made, and why experts and laypeople both mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. He explains that overconfidence is often the reason for failure, and if our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can too. In The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don’t Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA.

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Nate Silver on the Pitfalls of Prediction

Friday, October 05, 2012

Nate Silver is something of an authority on political forecasting. In 2008, his blog FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted the outcome of the presidential race in 49 out of 50 states. (In that same election, he was also right about all 35 senate races.) Bob sits down with Silver to talk about the 2012 election as well as his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

Prefuse 73 - Pagina Cinco

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Nate Silver on the Science of Prediction

Monday, October 01, 2012

Political junkies, economists, baseball scouts, meteorologists, and basically everyone else in the world is constantly trying to predict the future. And yet with the overwhelming amount of data that came with the information age, forecasters are often wrong — if not completely shocked — by the results.

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Nate Silver on NY-26

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Nate Silver, blogger for The New York Times' Five Thirty Eight blog, discusses the outcome of yesterday's special election in New York's 26th Congressional district.

→ Add Your Comments, Listen, and Read a Recap at It's A Free Country

The Big Picture: Incumbents

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Our election series The Big Picture takes a look at the incumbents running for re-election and why many of them may be at risk of losing their seats. Nate Silver, of the New York Times' blog FiveThirtyEight, joins us to discuss some of the most heated races in the nation.

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Closing in on the Midterms

Friday, October 15, 2010

Melinda Henneberger, founder and editor-in-chief of Politics Daily, and Nate Silver, blogger for the New York Times' Five Thirty Eight blog, discuss the most interesting midterm races around the country.

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And the Nominees are…

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Nate Silver, blogger for the New York TimesFive Thirty Eight blog, and Melinda Henneberger, founder and editor-in-chief of Politics Daily, discuss the results of primaries across the country.

Comments [2]

Talking Politics: Amy Walter and Nate Silver

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Amy Walter, political director of ABC News, and Nate Silver, the man behind The New York Times' Five Thirty Eight blog, discuss the November mid-term elections and the latest stories in politics.

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First Day in the City

Monday, March 29, 2010

New York Magazine’s senior editor David Haskell edited the book My First New York, a collection of the stories of notable NYC transplants and their first experience in the city. Contributors Nate Silver, of fivethirtyeight.com, and Andre Aciman talk about their “first New Yorks”.

How did you meet New ...

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Boston Tea Party

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Yesterday's victory by Republican Scott Brown in Massachusetts' special election may have big implications for the national Democratic agenda. Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com breaks down the vote and the lessons learned. Then, Trudy Lieberman of the Columbia Journalism Review, and Richard Parker, lecturer in public policy at ...

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Year One

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

President Obama took office exactly one year ago today. David Sanger, Matt Miller and John Heilemann discuss Obama’s first year. Nate Silver breaks down what took place in the Massachusetts special election yesterday. And, it’s the beginning of year one for New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. WNYC’s Bob Hennelly discusses ...

Crunching The Oscars

Friday, February 20, 2009

Nate Silver, political number-cruncher extraordinaire for Five Thirty Eight, has put his statistical analysis to the test and come up with predictions for this Sunday's Oscar awards.

Comments [2]

New Era

Friday, February 20, 2009

Richard Florida looks at how the recession will reshape not just the American economy, but the fundamental demographics of the country. How will New York fare in the new economic order? Plus, inside info from NYC Scout; Joe Nocera on nationalizing the banks; Nate Silver's Oscar picks; and crowdsourcing lunch.

Crunching the Oscars with Nate Silver

Friday, February 20, 2009

Nate Silver and his FiveThirtyEight.com blog, gained prominence during the 2008 election, when his predictions came closer to the outcome than what any seasoned pollster or pundit had forecast. Now he’s turned his talents toward the Oscar nominees. The Takeaway checks in with Silver for a glimpse inside his crystal ball.

We've compiled the trailers for all the Best Picture nominees. Click away!
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Milk
The Reader
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire

If you don't know the story of Slumdog Millionaire, listen to our interview with its author Vikas Swarup.

There's still time to vote in our Oscar question poll.

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Roundtable discussion on the stimulus vote

Thursday, January 29, 2009

President Obama's $819 billion stimulus plan passed the House last night. Despite the new president’s calls for bipartisanship, all House Republicans and eleven Democrats opposed the bill. What does this mean for the future of bipartisanship and the bailout? We are joined by Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight.com, a blog that analyzes political data, who has been looking at which Congress members support the president’s bill and why. Greg Ip, U.S. Economics Editor at The Economist, also joins The Takeaway with an analysis of which parts of the bill are likely to have the most effect. Finally we speak with Republican Congressman Vernon Ehlers of Michigan’s 3rd District. Ehlers didn't vote for the bill because he didn't think it had projects to create the kind of jobs that would stimulate Michigan’s ailing economy.

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Running the numbers on Congress

Thursday, December 25, 2008

Blogger Nate Silver made his name by using his skills as a baseball statistician to call the presidential race for Obama back in March. His site—FiveThirtyEight.com became the go-to spot for obsessive poll-watchers during the elections. Now he’s turned his attention to Congress and what numbers can foretell about the Legislative Branch in 2009.

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Swing States

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Nate Silver, founder of political website FiveThirtyEight.com, talks about what states are in play in the presidential election and how the swing state map has changed.

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RNC Coverage: Hour 2

Friday, September 05, 2008

Brooks Jackson, director of Annenberg Political Fact Check, discusses the latest whirl of rumor and truth affecting both candidates.

Then
Paul Ekman, director of the Paul Ekman Group, discusses facial expressions to detect lying in politicians.

Then
Fred Melo, public safety reporter ...

Comments [57]