Streams

Nate Silver

Blogger, FiveThirtyEight.com

Nate Silver appears in the following:

The State of the Race, According to Nate Silver

Monday, September 12, 2016

Hillary Clinton dropped a bit in national polls after her post-convention bump, but has the race really gotten tighter? FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver breaks down the numbers.

Comments [1]

When Polls Obscure The Truth

Friday, July 08, 2016

November is coming, and with it, polling data. We revisit Nate Silver’s discussion about the importance of reading polls with a critical eye.

Nate Silver's 2016 Presidential Election Forecast

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Statistician Nate Silver of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight talks about his first forecast for the 2016 presidential election.

Comments [1]

FiveThirtyEight vs. the Data Detractors

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Trump is now the presumptive nominee of the Republican party. What does that mean for the data journalists who declared his chances slim? 
Read More

Comments [7]

Nate Silver on 2016: The Sky Is Orange

Friday, March 04, 2016

FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver crunched the numbers and found Trump's success was extremely unlikely. He wasn't wrong, and yet here we are. So why is this election so unpredictable?

Nate Silver's Crystal Ball Tells All (For 2016)

Monday, December 21, 2015

Nate Silver, statistician and the founder and editor in chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight, discusses presidential polling and predictions as well as sports picks for 2016.

Comments [6]

When Polls Obscure The Truth

Friday, December 04, 2015

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight explains why Donald Trump's position in the polls isn't everything he makes it out to be, and how polls can also obscure the truth.

Chicken or Egg? Media Pull Versus Push

Friday, October 30, 2015

Do candidates get more coverage because they're polling well, or do they poll well because they get more coverage? We're teaming up with FiveThirtyEight to search for an answer.

Nate Silver: Forecasts and Odds

Friday, November 02, 2012

Statistician and FiveThirtyEight blogger for The New York Times Nate Silver talks about forecasting elections, and the weather, plus his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't.

Comments [6]

Forecasting Tuesday

Friday, November 02, 2012

Less than a week before the election, many observers across the political spectrum say that they believe a victory for President Obama is highly likely. Others say that it's reckless to predict the future with any kind of certainty. Nate Silver of the New York Times FiveThirtyEight blog explains to Brooke the difference between forecasting and fortune-telling, and defends his belief that an Obama win seems probable. 

Grizzly Bear & Feist - Service Bell

Comments [7]

Nate Silver on Making Predictions

Monday, October 08, 2012

Nate Silver looks at how predictions are made, and why experts and laypeople both mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. He explains that overconfidence is often the reason for failure, and if our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can too. In The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don’t Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA.

Comments [4]

Nate Silver on the Pitfalls of Prediction

Friday, October 05, 2012

Nate Silver is something of an authority on political forecasting. In 2008, his blog FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted the outcome of the presidential race in 49 out of 50 states. (In that same election, he was also right about all 35 senate races.) Bob sits down with Silver to talk about the 2012 election as well as his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

Prefuse 73 - Pagina Cinco

Comments [4]

Nate Silver on the Science of Prediction

Monday, October 01, 2012

Political junkies, economists, baseball scouts, meteorologists, and basically everyone else in the world is constantly trying to predict the future. And yet with the overwhelming amou...

Comments [2]

Nate Silver on NY-26

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Nate Silver, blogger for The New York Times' Five Thirty Eight blog, discusses the outcome of yesterday's special election in New York's 26th Congressional district.

→ Add Your Comments, Listen, and Read a Recap at It's A Free Country

The Big Picture: Incumbents

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Our election series The Big Picture takes a look at the incumbents running for re-election and why many of them may be at risk of losing their seats. Nate Silver, of the New York Times' blog FiveThirtyEight, joins us to discuss some of the most heated races in the nation.

Comments [1]

Closing in on the Midterms

Friday, October 15, 2010

Melinda Henneberger, founder and editor-in-chief of Politics Daily, and Nate Silver, blogger for the New York Times' Five Thirty Eight blog, discuss the most interesting midterm races around the country.

Comments [6]

And the Nominees are…

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Nate Silver, blogger for the New York TimesFive Thirty Eight blog, and Melinda Henneberger, founder and editor-in-chief of Politics Daily, discuss the results of primaries across the country.

Comments [2]

Talking Politics: Amy Walter and Nate Silver

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Amy Walter, political director of ABC News, and Nate Silver, the man behind The New York Times' Five Thirty Eight blog, discuss the November mid-term elections and the latest stories in politics.

Comments [7]

First Day in the City

Monday, March 29, 2010

New York Magazine’s senior editor David Haskell edited the book My First New York, a collection of the stories of notable NYC transplants and their first experience in the city. Contributors Nate Silver, of fivethirtyeight.com, and Andre Aciman talk about their “first New Yorks”.

How did you meet New ...

Comments [36]

Boston Tea Party

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Yesterday's victory by Republican Scott Brown in Massachusetts' special election may have big implications for the national Democratic agenda. Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com breaks down the vote and the lessons learned. Then, Trudy Lieberman of the Columbia Journalism Review, and Richard Parker, lecturer in public policy at ...

Comments [83]