After a long primary season, (registered) New Yorkers hit the polls tomorrow to choose the Democratic and Republican nominees for Mayor -- or at least who will be in the runoff. Azi Paybarah of Capital New York and WNYC's Anna Sale discuss the last-minute push by the campaigns, and what to watch for as the results come in tomorrow.
The election season is heating up, with new polls showing strong support for Anthony Weiner and Eliot Spitzer in the mayoral and comptroller's race, respectively. Azi Paybarah, political reporter for Capital New York, and Kate Taylor of the New York Times discuss the state of the races, and the recent Times poll on Mayor Bloomberg's legacy.
The election season is heating up, with a full slate of Democrats and Republicans trying to raise as much cash as possible in advance of the primaries. WNYC reporter Anna Sale and Azi Paybarah, political reporter for Capital New York, talk about the latest developments. Plus: What the recent unrest in East Flatbush around the shooting of Kimani Gray says about the state of community relations and the Bloomberg policing legacy. WNYC's Stephen Nessen joins briefly from East Flatbush to describe the community's reactions.
Richard Flanagan, associate professor at the College of Staten Island and co-author of Staten Island: Conservative Bastion in a Liberal City, talks about the Congressional race on Staten Island.
Capitol New York political reporter Azi Paybarah explains how Governor Cuomo's promises of transparency compare to his administration's record, and discusses the latest on the governor's 2016 hopes.
No high profile Republican candidate has emerged as a favorite for next year's mayoral race. Azi Paybarah, reporter for Capital New York, and Doug Muzzio, professor of political science at Baruch College and host of "City Talk" on CUNY/TV, talk about the buzz surrounding an effort to draft Ray Kelly, and the leadership void in the local GOP.
Actress Cynthia Nixon puts Andrew Cuomo's budget in plain language.
"And while we're at it, let's take a hundred or more schools across the state, and just shut them down. It sounds like I'm joking but that's exactly what is going to happen if we don't stop Governor Cuomo's record setting one-point-five billion dollars in school cuts.
"The worst part is the governor is simultaneously proposing multi-billion-dollar tax breaks for the wealthiest New Yorkers."
The group, Alliance for Quality Educaiton, is calling for people to submit their own videos describing how Cuomo's cuts to schools would impact them.
Cuomo's spokesman, Josh Vlasto, says the figures Nixon cites in the video are not accurate.
Ronald Reagan had his 'welfare queens,' Rudy Giuliani had his criminals and 'squeegee men,' and now Chris Christie has his sprawling and powerful public-sector unions - teachers, cops and firefighters who Christie says are driving up local taxes beyond what the citizenry can afford, while also demanding the kind of lifetime security that most private-sector workers have already lost.
"It may just be that Christie has stumbled onto the public-policy issue of our time, which is how to bring the exploding costs of the public workforce in line with reality. ... Then again, he may simply be the latest in a long line of politicians to give an uneasy public the scapegoat it demands
[h/t Mike Allen]
Support for performance-based layoffs is strong among all groups, including 75–20 percent among voters in households with a union member, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Voters with children in public school back performance-based layoffs 90–7 percent.
By a 50–22 percent margin, New York State voters have a favorable opinion of public school teachers, with 25 percent who haven’t heard enough about them to form an opinion. Parents of public school students have a 60–22 percent favorable opinion.
Defense of Marriage Act: Obama orders that federal lawyers no longer defend it. (NY Times)
Cuomo and God: "My religion is a private matter and it is not something that I discuss in a political arena." (Daily News)
Robo Calls: DCCC targets Gibson, Grimm and Hanna. (LoHud)
Withdrawing Money: Councilman Jumaane Williams takes his money out of Chase; security guards watch closely. (Youtube)
Maloney's Fund-Raiser: Joe Biden was the draw. (Observer)
Biden's Cost: "Cindy Darrison, the fundraiser for [Rep.] Maloney, said her campaign had to put up a deposit against the potential costs of that portion of the trip, which she estimated ranged from $15,000 to $20,000. The DNC did not immediately respond to a query about its share of the trip’s costs." (Daily News)
Replacing Chris Lee: The NY-26 is starting to look like NY-23. Conservative looks to knock off "pro-abortion" GOP candidate. (Capital Tonight)
Replacing Chris Lee: More time for military ballots, as per Cuomo's orders. (Capital Tonight)
Attacking Obama: Barbour is getting ready. (Ben Smith)
Wisconsin: "This is a governor standing up and engaging in union busting," said Christine Quinn. (Observer)
Libya: "Muammar Qadhafi" vs "Moammar Gadhafi." (Keach Hagey)
Broken Windows Theory: Results in fewer broken windows, Sam Roberts finds. (NY Times)
School Funding: Thomas Kaplan goes deep inside Cuomo's fight. (NY Times)
Abortion Ad: De Blasio wants it gone. (NY Times)
Mt. Vernon Mayor: Being challenged by Mt. Vernon Comptroller. (LoHud)
Finally, a profile of Josh Isay, the consultant to, um, everyone? (Bloomberg, Caroline Kennedy, Schumer, Christine Quinn, Netanyahu):
IF THERE WAS EVER A TIME JOSH ISAY could be neatly categorized as a "Democratic operative," that time is over. He is now the guy who could represent Quinn or Stringer or some other Democrat if those are the choices for mayor in 2013, but who is just as likely to represent the next Bloomberg, if and when one surfaces, if that candidate is the one he likes best, and has enough money, and looks likely, with some expert help with messaging, to win.
Certainly, he will not feel constrained by any sense of partisan duty.
(As one of Isay's consultant friends put it, "Josh is highly motivated by making profit, which is fine.")
When the Democratic primary electorate rejected Joe Lieberman in Connecticut, Isay (like Schumer, and other Democratic senators) helped Lieberman beat the Democratic nominee in the general. Isay did his best to help Crist, the former Republican governor of Florida, who became an independent only when it became clear that he was going to lose his Senate primary. Outside American politics, Isay has worked for Netanyahu and Israel's Likud Party, which is increasingly explicit about its ideological alligment with the U.S. Republican Party. (There was a tradition, dating back to the Bill Clinton era, of top Democractic consultants working for Likud's opponents; Netanyahu's first American guru, by contrast, was Arthur Finkelstein, the reclusive archconservative who masterminded the rise of former governor George Pataki and the Senate campaigns of Al D'Amato.)
As far as American politics is concered, Isay said, “I consider myself kind of a, what is Koch’s expression? A liberal with sanity. I think that’s Koch’s expression.”
Isay will likely get a piece of President Obama’s reelection campaign in 2012, perhaps playing a bigger—and proportionately more lucrative—part than in 2008, when Knickerbocker SKD handled mail in the northeast, and television in the west.
“I don’t know how they’re going to organize it for the next presidential,” said Isay. “But Anita [Dunn, business partner in D.C.] was communications director for the White House and will certainly play a role in whatever they want to do.”
For more, check out Jason Horowitz's piece about Isay, Pollock and Wolfson.
Cuomo's job approval rating, from Quinnipiac:
56-15 percent job approval rating
59-14 percent among independents
57-14 percent among GOP
56-14 percent among Dems
63-13 percent in upstate
53-15 percent in NYC
50-17 percent in suburbs
"Gov. Andrew Cuomo is a Democrat, right? His job approval is strong but the political and geographical pattern has a Republican look - he does best upstate, better than in the city or suburbs," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
Also, the poll compares Cuomo's wine-and-dine approach to Spitzer's steamrolling, and finds, unsurprisingly, Cuomo's is preferred.
The police and firemen's union are jointly running these full-page ads denouncing"Bloomberg's lies" about the $12,000 payments some uniformed retirees get, which the mayor calls an expensive "bonus" that should be ended.
After opposition from the unions, and even the New York Post editorial board, Bloomberg scaled back his position, saying in his preliminary budget he wants only "moderate" changes to the program that will yield $200 million in annual savings.