Predictions 2010
The polls just closed in New York, and more than a few brave people made predictions earlier. Chris Smith of New York Magazine and I are putting Cuomo below 60 percent, and Paladino well below 40.
Carl Paladino's campaign manager, Michael Caputo, is predicting victory.
Councilman Lew Fidler, and my mom, are giving Eric Schneiderman a razor-thin edge in the attorney general's race.
Newsday's Dan Janison, and Smith, are giving the comptroller's race to Wilson.
See these, and other predictions, below.
NY Governor:
51-49 Paladino; Michael Caputo
52-38 Cuomo, Dan Janison (Redlich-4; others-6)
54-46 Cuomo; KTS
54-46 Cuomo; Kyle T.
54-46 Cuomo; Tann
55-45 Cuomo; Ron
56-38 Cuomo, Azi Paybarah
56-43 Cuomo; Matthew A.
57-30 Cuomo; Chris Smith (McMillian-5; Davis 4; Barron-3)
57-32 Cuomo; Sam Kulik
57-43 Cuomo; Ydoj Nagriva
58-35 Cuomo; Jennifer
58-38 Cuomo; Michael F.
58-38 Cuomo; Nick Rizzo
58-42 Cuomo; Thomas NYC Bookie
58-42 Cuomo; Latrice Springs
58-42 Cuomo; Lloyd Targer
58-28 Cuomo; Curtis from Pelham
59-34 Cuomo; B from D
59-36 Cuomo; Peter Miller
59-38 Cuomo; Bill O'Reilly
59-39 Cuomo; ileen
59-41 Cuomo, Robert Lapidus
59-41 Cuomo; Paul Sugarman
60-40 Cuomo, Lew Fidler
60-40 Cuomo; Ricardo
60-40 Cuomo; Jason Snyder
60-40 Cuomo; Zachary Stewart
60-40 Cuomo; Chris Martin
60-38 Cuomo; Ken
62-38 Cuomo; Amaury
62-38 Cuomo; Marjorie Sweeney
63-37 Cuomo, my mom
63-37 Cuomo; Nala Htims
63-37 Cuomo; Joshua Cole
63-37 Cuomo; Philip Papaelias
64-32 Cuomo; Scotty Elyanow
64-28-Cuomo; ML, a Democrat
65-33 Cuomo; David Mehl
65-35 Cuomo; Jean-Marie Martin
65-35 Richard M.
65-35 Cuomo; Stephen Beck
65-34 Cuomo; Daniel Gr.
67-33 Cuomo; Tim Goldman
68-32 Cuomo; Reilly
70-30 Cuomo, L WilliamsonNY Attorney General
53-45 Donovan; Peter Miller
52-48 Donovan; Reilly
52-48 Donovan, L Williamson
52-48 Donovan; Curtis from Pelham
51-49 Donovan; Bill O'Reilly
46-44 Schneiderman, ML, a Democrat
46-46 Schneiderman; Sam Kulik
51-49 Schneiderman; my mom
51-49 Schneiderman; Lew Fidler
51-49 Schneiderman; Nick Rizzo
51-49 Schneiderman, Ricardo
51-49 Schnedierman; Michael F.
51-49 Schneiderman; Paul Sugarman
51-49 Schneiderman; Ron
51-49 Schneiderman; Scotty Elyanow
51-49 Schneiderman; Matthew A.
52-48 Schneiderman; Chris Smith
52-48 Schneiderman; Kyle T.
52-48 Schneiderman; Joshua Cole
52-48 Schneiderman; ileen
52-48 Schneiderman; Ydoj Nagriva
52-48 Schneiderman; KTS
52-48 Schneiderman; Jason Snyder
52-48 Schneiderman; Chris Martin
52-48 Schneiderman; Jennifer
53-46 Schneiderman; B from D
53-47 Schneiderman; David Mehl
53-47 Schneiderman; Thomas NYC Bookie
53-47 Schneiderman; Lloyd Targer
54-44 Schneiderman; Ken
54-46 Schneiderman; Nala Htims
55-45 Schneiderman, Robert Lapidus
55-45 Schneiderman; Richard M.
55-45 Schneiderman, Daniel Gr.
55-45 Schneiderman; Stephen Beck
55-35 Schneiderman, Jean-Marie Martin
56-44 Schneiderman; Tim Goldman
57-43 Schneiderman; Tann
59-42 Schneiderman; Philip Papaelias
59-41 Schneiderman; Latrice Springs
65-35 Schneiderman; Zachary Stewart
65-35 Schneiderman; Marjorie SweeneyNY Comptroller
65-35 DiNapoli; Zachary Stewart
62-38 DiNapoli; Latrice Springs
56-42 DiNapoli; Ken
55-45 DiNapoli; Daniel Gr.
55-45 DiNapoli; Jason Snyder
55-45 DiNapoli; Tim Goldman
54-46 DiNapoli; ileen
53-47 DiNapoli; Jean-Marie Martin
53-47 DiNapoli; Thomas NYC Bookie
53-47 DiNapoli; Paul Sugarman
53-47 DiNapoli; Tann
52-48 DiNapoli; Kyle T.
52-48 DiNapoli; Lloyd Targer
52-48 DiNapoli; KTS
52-48 DiNapoli; my mom
52-48 DiNapoli; Chris Martin
52-47 DiNapoli; Scotty Elyanow
51-48 DiNapoli, Robert Lapidus
51-49 DiNapoli; Lew Fidler
51-49 DiNapoli; Joshua Cole
51-49 DiNapoli; Curtis from Pelham
51-49 DiNapoli; Ron
51-46 DiNapoli, Philip Papaelias
50-48 DiNapoli; Peter Miller
5048 DiNapoli; Jackie
46-44 Wilson; Sam Kulik
47-39 Wilson; ML, a Democrat
49-46 Wilson; Matthew A.
51-47 Wilson; B from D
51-49 Wilson, Chris Smith
52-49 Wilson; Nala Htims
52-48 WIlson; Jennifer
52-47 Wilson; Dan Janison
52-48 Wilson; Michael F.
52-48 Wilson; David Mehl
52-48 Wilson; Reilly
54-46 Wilson; Bill O'Reilly
53-46 Wilson; Nick Rizzo
53-47 Wilson; Ricardo
54-46 Wilson, Amaury
55-45 Wilson; Ydoj Nagriva
55-45 Wilson; Stephen Beck
55-45 WIlson; Richard M.
65-35 Wilson, L Williamson
70-30 WIlson; Marjorie SweeneyTerm Limits
Yes-Bill O'Reilly
40-8 Yes, ML, a Democrat
66-34 Yes; my mom
66-34 Yes; Lew FidlerOther Initiative Question
No-Bill O'Reilly
40-8 Yes; ML, a Democrat
61-39 Yes, my mom
59-41 Yes; Lew FidlerNY-Senate
65-35 Schumer; Chris Smith52-44 Gillibrand; Sam Kulik
54-46 Gillibrand; Paul Sugarman
54-46 Gilibrand; ileen
55-45 Gillibrand; Chris Smith
55-45 Gillibrand; Jason Snyder
55-45 Gillibrand; Zachary Stewart
55-44 Gillibrand; Scotty Elyanow
55-42 Gillibrand; Ken
55-45 Gillibrand; David Mehl
57-40 Gillibrand; Nick Rizzo
57-43 Gillibrand; Joshua Cole
57-43 Gillibrand; Ricardo
57-43 Gillibrand; Matthew A.
57-43 Gillibrand; Chris Martin
57-43 Gillibrand; Lloyd Targer
58-42 Gillibrand; Jean-Marie Martin
58-42 Gillibrand; Michael F.
58-39 Gillibrand; Peter Miller
59-39 Gillibrand; B from D
58-42 Gillibrand; Nala Htims
59-41 Gillibrand; KTS
60-40 Gillibrand; L Williamson
60-40 Gillibrand; Tann
60-40 Gillibrand; Stephen Beck
60-40 Gillibrand; Reilly
60-40 Gillibrand; Tim Goldman
62-38 Gillibrand; Thomas NYC Bookie
63-37 Gillibrand; Philip Papaelias
64-37 Gillibrand; Curtis from Pelham
65-35 Gillibrand; Daniel Gr.
65-32 Gillibrand; Jennifer
67-33 Gillibrand; Richard M.
68-32 Gillibrand; Marjorie SweeneyCT Senate
59-41 Blumethal; Nala Htims
58-42 Blumenthal; Jean-Marie Martin
57-41 Blumenthal; Scotty Elyanow
56-48 Blumenthal; Chris Martin
56-44 Blumenthal; Tim Goldman
56-43 Blumenthal; Lloyd Targer
56-42 Blumenthal; B from D
55-45 Blumenthal; Marjorie Sweeney
55-43 Blumenthal; Ken
55-43 Blumenthal; Peter Miller
54-46 Blumenthal; Joshua Cole
54-44 Blumenthal; Nick Rizzo
53-47 Blumenthal; Bill O'Reilly
53-47 Blumenthal; Jennifer
53-47 Blumenthal; Ydoj Nagriva
53-47 Blumenthal; Amaury
53-47 Blumenthal; Zachary Stewart
53-47 Blumenthal; Curtis from Pelham
53-47 Blumenthal; Philip Papaelias
53-47 Blumenthal; ileen
52-48 Blumenthal; Richard M.
52-48 Blumenthal; Ricardo
52-48 Blumenthal; Kyle T.
52-48 Blumenthal; Latrice Springs
52-48 Blumenthal, L Williamson
52-48 Blumenthal; Jason Snyder
52-48 Blumenthal; Matthew A.
52-48 Blumentha; KTS
51-49 Blumenthal; Thomas NYC Bookie
51-44 Blumentha; Sam Kulik
50-46 Blumenthal, ML, a Democrat
51-49 McMahon; Tann
52-48 McMahon; David Mehl
52-48 McMahon; Ron
55-45 McMahon; Reilly
55-45 McMahon; Daniel Gr.CT Governor
54-46-Foley; Bill O'Reilly
48-46 Malloy, ML, a DemocratNY-13
53-47 McMahon; Bill O'Reilly
47-35 McMahon; ML, a DemocratNY19
53-47 Hayworth; Bill O'Reilly
47-45 Hayworth; ML, a DemocratNY-20
54-46 Gibson; Bill O'Reilly
53-42 Gibson; ML, a DemocratNY-24
50.5-49.5 Hanna; Bill O'Reilly
46-43 Arcuri; ML, a DemocratNY State Senate-15
52-48 Como; Bill O'Reilly
46-43 Como; ML, a DemocratNY State Senate-11
51-49 Padavan; Bill O'Reilly
45-40 Avella; ML, a DemocratNY State Senate-7
56-44 Zeldin; Bill O'Reilly
56-33 Zeldin, ML, a DemocratNY State Senate-3
56-36 Johnson; ML, a Democrat
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