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New Yorkers Believe Climate Change Caused Hurricane Sandy: Poll

Monday, December 03, 2012

Areas of Long Island, N.Y. following Hurricane Sandy Oct. 30, 2012. (Photo by U.S. Coast Guard / Petty Officer 2nd Class Rob Simpson)

Most New Yorkers say climate change is the reason for severe storms like Hurricane Sandy.

According to a recent Siena poll, at least 63 percent of voters from across the state -- including two-thirds of upstate residents and three-quarters of those in New York City – say severe storms over the last two years demonstrate the existence of global climate change.

"There may be a debate about what has caused the global climate change," says Siena pollster Steven Greenberg, "but for most New Yorkers there is no debate that it is occurring.”

That mirrors national numbers. In a pre-Sandy poll conducted in October by the Pew Research Center, 67 percent of respondents said they believed in global warming.

But the issue reveals a stark partisan divide. In the Siena poll, eight in ten Democrats say severe storms demonstrated climate change -- whereas Republicans are nearly evenly divided, with 46 percent saying climate change is behind big storms and 44 percent calling them isolated weather events. The Pew poll found similar national numbers.

(Two New Yorkers who believe in climate change: Governor Andrew Cuomo and New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg. The latter said it was the prime force behind his endorsement of  President Obama for reelection. And the governor is likely to be talking about it as he makes the rounds in D.C. to push for disaster aid.)

But as politicians, these two are outliers. Neither Obama nor Republican Mitt Romney mentioned climate change during the presidential debates. A Frontline documentary that aired in October provides some thoughts as to why: climate skeptics have worked hard to introduce doubt into the conversation surrounding the climate change debate -- successfully making it a partisan issue.

Watch Climate of Doubt on PBS. See more from FRONTLINE.

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The Empire

Cuomo approval ratings remain high as Gillibrand, Schumer slip

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Courtesy of the Governor's office

Governor Andrew Cuomo's approval ratings continue to remain high, according to a new Siena poll, despite an overwhelming feeling among those polled feel Albany is no more transparent than it was when the Governor took office.

“After nine months in a difficult economic climate, it’s impressive that Governor Cuomo has 72 percent of voters viewing him favorably. However, even more impressive is the consistency with which voters from different regions and demographic groups view him,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg in a statement. “He is viewed favorably by 71 percent of voters upstate and in New York City, and by 73 percent of downstate suburban voters."

Meanwhile, both of New York's Senators have seen their approval ratings slip from recent highs. Senator Charles Schumer's approval rating is at 59 percent, down from 67 percent in November of last year. Meanwhile, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand's 46 percent approval rating is down from an all-time high of 57 percent in February.

Perhaps more concerning for the junior Senator are the number of voters who say they'd prefer someone else in the job. More than a third of respondents continue to say they'd like to see Senator Gillibrand gone.

“Is the junior senator vulnerable? At this point only 37 percent of voters both view her favorably and are inclined to re-elect her while 21 percent see Gillibrand unfavorably and prefer someone else," said Greenberg. "Right now Gillibrand is ahead but she is well below 50 percent of strong supporters while a sizable percentage of New York voters currently do not know where they stand and could go either way come November 2012."

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The Empire

Cuomo: 'Can they lead? Can they get a tough budget done?'

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

I caught the tail end of Cuomo's comments on Fred Dicker's radio show, but the chest-thumping seemed fairly direct.

Cuomo warned what would happen if legislative leaders - Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver and Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos - fail to deliver enough votes to get his budget passed: they could be painted as advocates for the special interest.

"The question is can they get it done? Can they lead? Can they get a tough budget done," Cuomo asked rhetorically.

Cuomo - whose has sky-high approval ratings right now - said if it turns out either legislative leader "favors the special interest, then we're going to have a problem."

When asked about progress on an ethics reform bill, Cuomo paid a compliment to Silver and Skelos, and then promptly downplayed it.

After saying the three parties have gotten "closer" and "closer," Cuomo said, "closer doesn't matter to me."

"It's very easy to get close to the goal line. What they excel is getting close to the goal line but not going over."

Cuomo's talk was notably assertive (can we call it aggressive, it was so pleasantly delivered?) and it put the spotlight on two legislative partners that aren't well known outside political circles.

Which is what Alan Chartock predicted.

In light of Cuomo's 72 percent approval rating, Chartock said Cuomo has "got everyone on the run right now" and "if they see poll numbers around 75 percent, they’ve got to fear him.”

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The Empire

Poll: Cuomo more popular than Cuomo budget

Monday, February 14, 2011

Andrew Cuomo is popular, even if key parts of his budget face resistance, according to a new Sienea poll.

Also, GOP and Independent voters really like Cuomo's budget, even though members of his Democratic Party do not.

Cuomo
77-16 percent favorable / unfavorable among voters.
83-12 percent among Dems
70-20 percent among GOP
70-22 percent among Independents

Obama
62-35 percent favorable / unfavorable among voters.
82-17 percent among Dems
29-67 percent among GOP
55-39 percent among Independents

Cuomo's pledges to not raise taxes, not borrow, and cut spending all poll at 75 percent or higher with voters.

When it comes to cutting health care or education, things change.

Cut Medicaid by $1 billion:
51-45 percent support it.
41-54 percent among Dems
61-36 percent among GOP
59-36 percent among Independents

Cut SUNY / CUNY by 10 percent:
41-56 percent support it
33-65 percent among Dems
50-47 percent among GOP
49-50 percent among Independents

Renew tax on those making $200,000+ annually (which Cuomo opposes)
33-65 percent support
27-71 percent among Dems
45-53 percent among GOP
34-63 percent among Independents
61-37 percent among those making $100,000+ annually

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The Empire

Nate Silver: Cuomo is 'still introducing himself' to New Yorkers

Monday, January 24, 2011

Nate Silver has a counter-intuitive take on why Andrew Cuomo is proceeding so cautiously into his first budget presentation: despite the large election he won, he isn't coming to Albany with much of a mandate.

Appearing on the New Yrok Times Close-Up this weekend, Silver said:

Cuomo won a weird election. it was more of an anti-[Carl]Paladino vote. It wasn't really a mandate, despite the size of the margin. He had a very low turnout throughout the state. So, he's still introducing himself to New Yorkers. And I don't think we've really fully formed our opinions about him yet. So I think, especially now, his first major action - the way it's portrayed - could shape perceptions of him for months.

It is true that Cuomo won a large margin without doing much to raise the profile of the race. (He declined several opportunities to appear on national tv shows, or to give lengthy, possibly news-making speeches in places like Crain's business breakfast or the Association for a Better New York.)

But a recent Siena poll found Cuomo, and his agenda, pretty well-supported.

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The Empire

Poll: Cuomo's agenda is almost entirely popular

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

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The only major proposal Andrew Cuomo is pushing that is not supported by a majority of New Yorkers is his call to let a tax on the rich expire. According to a Siena poll released today, 2/3 of voters want to continue tax increases on those making more than $200,000 annually.

Interestingly, only 42 percent of voters think the upcoming state budget will not include some form of tax increase.

Among Cuomo's most popular initiatives is his call for more transparency in the legislature. 84 percent say they support lawmakers having to disclose all their outside sources of income.

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The Empire

Unpopular Budget Cuts

Monday, December 13, 2010

Siena's poll this morning reminds us why cutting the state budget isn't easy:

“By a better than three-to-one margin, voters say they would vote against cutting education by $1 billion to help close the state’s $9 billion budget deficit.  By a slightly smaller, but still overwhelming margin, they would also vote against cutting Medicaid and health care by $1 billion to help balance the budget.  Voters of every party and region oppose these cuts to help close the budget deficit,” Greenberg said.

Also, 44 percent say if there's one topic they want Cuomo to address in his inaugural speech, it's revitalizing the economy.

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WNYC News

Siena Poll Finds NY Democrats Close to Losing Senate

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

The first poll to look at statewide Senate races finds that Democrats may be struggling to retain their hold on the State Senate in November.

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WNYC News

New Poll Finds Cuomo Holds Comfortable Lead Over Paladino

Thursday, September 23, 2010

A new poll out finds Democrat Andrew Cuomo 26 points ahead of his Republican gubernatorial challenger Carl Paladino, markedly different results from a poll released on Wednesday's that showed the race in a statistical dead heat.

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The Empire

Is it a nailbiter, or a blowout? Quinnipiac vs Siena

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Yesterday, Quinnipiacmade headlines with these poll numbers:

Andrew Cuomo - 49
Carl Paladino - 43

This morning, Siena throws cold water on the fire, with these numbers:

Andrew Cuomo - 57
Carl Paladino - 24
Rick Lazio - 8

I’m reaching out to pollsters to get a better handle on this, but here’s a few notes. Quinnipiac surveyed “likely voters.” Errol Louis pointed out on his radio show this morning, it may be too early to start weeding out “likely voters” from “registered voters” this far out from an election.

Siena surveyed registered voters, and obviously, included Lazio as a third-party candidate. But even if all of Lazio’s voters went to Paladino, he still trails Cuomo by more than 20 points.

Paladino’s campaign has already said the discrepancy “is certainly suspicious.”

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