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Quinnipiac

The Empire

New Yorkers like Walmart

Thursday, July 28, 2011

  (lakshmi / clker.com)

Another day, another Quinnipiac University poll. Today's poll reveals the truth about New Yorkers: they're just like everybody else--at least when it comes to Walmart.

When asked if they would shop at Walmart, 69 percent of New Yorkers said they would. Nearly two-thirds of those polled said city officials should allow a Walmart to be built. The retail giant is currently looking for a home in the city, but has faced resistance from local elected officials and labor unions.

“Support for allowing Walmart to open in the Big Apple is growing, while the number of would-be shoppers remains constant at more than 2-1,” Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a statement. “Voters agree with both the negative and positive claims made about the retail giant, but even in union households, New Yorkers say a bargain’s a bargain.”

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The Empire

New Yorker's for Kelly, a boost for Bloomberg in new Quinnipiac poll

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Quinnipiac University Polling Institute released results that were good news for non-mayoral candidate, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly. He leads a list of potential candidates, despite showing little interest in becoming the next mayor--but that didn't stop voters from selecting him in a race between many likely Democratic candidates.

“Police Commissioner Ray Kelly has never given the faintest hint that he’d like to move from Police Headquarters across the street to City Hall, but New York seems to like the idea of Kelly for mayor,” Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a statement.

Here are the results:

  • Kelly – 23 percent
  • City Council Speaker Christine Quinn – 18 percent
  • Brooklyn Borough President Marty Markowitz – 12 percent
  • City Comptroller John Liu – 10 percent
  • 2009 Mayoral candidate William Thompson – 8 percent
  • Public Advocate Bill de Blasio – 6 percent
  • Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer – 4 percent

The overall results don't change when Kelly's name was taken out of the mix. Quinn remains the clear favorite, with the remaining candidates in the same order.

The poll also show Bloomberg's job approval rating among New Yorkers improved, from 40 – 49 percent back in May to 45 – 43 percent. However, only Manhattan gave the mayor a majority vote of approval--61 percent--while the Bronx gave Bloomberg his worst marks, with only 36 percent saying he was doing a good job.

 

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The Empire

Poll: Democrat Cuomo polls like a Republican

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Cuomo's job approval rating, from Quinnipiac:

56-15 percent job approval rating
59-14 percent among independents
57-14 percent among GOP
56-14 percent among Dems
63-13 percent in upstate
53-15 percent in NYC
50-17 percent in suburbs

The analysis:

"Gov. Andrew Cuomo is a Democrat, right? His job approval is strong but the political and geographical pattern has a Republican look - he does best upstate, better than in the city or suburbs," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Also, the poll compares Cuomo's wine-and-dine approach to Spitzer's steamrolling, and finds, unsurprisingly, Cuomo's is preferred.

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The Empire

Poll: Not many popular options for trimming state budget

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Freezing wages and capping property taxes are the only budget-cutting solutions that are overwhelmingly popular with New York State voters, according to a new survey by Quinnipiac University.

But the survey also found cuts to two of the most expensive programs in the budget - education and Medicaid - resoundingly unpopular.

Quinnipiac:

82-13 support capping property taxes
75-20 support a wage freeze for state workers
52-30 support furloughs of state workers
47-45 oppose layoffs of state workers
55-38 oppose reducing pension benefits for state workers
69-28 oppose cutting Medicaid funding
79-18 oppose cutting aid to public schools

All of this underscores the heavy lift facing Cuomo when he presents his budget to legislators next week.

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The Empire

If you budgeted based on polls, you would...

Thursday, December 09, 2010

be left with few options.

From Quinnipiac:

56 – 30 percent margin, voters would rather cut services than raise taxes to balance.

Also:

52 – 43 percent against layoffs for state workers;
56 – 32 percent in support of furloughs for state workers;
56 – 37 percent against reducing pension benefits for state workers;

78 – 19 percent against reducing state aid to public schools.

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The New York Vote

A Professional Reader of Voters’ Minds Discusses His ‘Blunt Instrument’

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

WNYC

In the fourth of a five-part series called "The New York Vote," a partnership between WNYC and Capital New York, Mickey Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute explains how he moved from polling skeptic to believer.

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The Empire

Indys swing to McMahon in CT

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Thanks to a flip among independent voters, Republican Senate candidate Linda McMahon cut Democrat Dick Blumenthal's lead to just 3 percent.

In Quinnipiac's poll of likely voters in Connecticut, McMahon trails Blumenthal 46-49 percent. That's closer than the Q poll on September 14, which had shown Blumenthal leading 51-45 percent.

In the latest poll, independent voters flipped from Blumenthal to McMahon.

Two weeks ago, Blumenthal split independent voters with McMahon, 47-46.

In today's poll, McMahon is pulling away among independent voters, 49-44 percent.

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WNYC News

New Poll Finds Cuomo Holds Comfortable Lead Over Paladino

Thursday, September 23, 2010

A new poll out finds Democrat Andrew Cuomo 26 points ahead of his Republican gubernatorial challenger Carl Paladino, markedly different results from a poll released on Wednesday's that showed the race in a statistical dead heat.

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The Empire

Is it a nailbiter, or a blowout? Quinnipiac vs Siena

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Yesterday, Quinnipiacmade headlines with these poll numbers:

Andrew Cuomo - 49
Carl Paladino - 43

This morning, Siena throws cold water on the fire, with these numbers:

Andrew Cuomo - 57
Carl Paladino - 24
Rick Lazio - 8

I’m reaching out to pollsters to get a better handle on this, but here’s a few notes. Quinnipiac surveyed “likely voters.” Errol Louis pointed out on his radio show this morning, it may be too early to start weeding out “likely voters” from “registered voters” this far out from an election.

Siena surveyed registered voters, and obviously, included Lazio as a third-party candidate. But even if all of Lazio’s voters went to Paladino, he still trails Cuomo by more than 20 points.

Paladino’s campaign has already said the discrepancy “is certainly suspicious.”

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The Empire

Poll: McMahon Gaining on Blumenthal

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Over in Connecticut, Republican Senate candidate Linda McMahon is cutting down the lead against Democrat Dick Blumenthal.

According to Quinnipiac, McMahon trails Blumenthal by six points, 51 - 45 percent with 3 percent undecided.

Blumenthal, the state's attorney general, had lead by 9 points in an earlier poll from Rasmussen and as much as 10 points in a Quinnipiac poll from July. McMahon, a former executive with the World Wrestling Entertainment, has been bombarding voters with flyers, attacking Blumenthal's credibility, a lingering issue from his misstatements about having served "in" Vietnam.

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The Empire

Q poll: Cuomo Leads; Voters Want Budget Details

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

A Quinnipiac poll today says voters want more budget info from Cuomo. (Azi Paybarah / WNYC)

Democratic gubernatorial nominee Andrew Cuomo leads his two Republican opponents by more than thirty points, according to a new Quinnipiac poll.

Cuomo leads former LI congressman Rick Lazio 57-25 percent; Cuomo also leads upstate commercial real estate developer Carl Paladino 60-23 percent.

Independent voters are trending towards Cuomo, 55-23 percent over Lazio, and 54-24 percent over Paladino.

The poll did not ask Republican voters which candidate, Lazio or Paladino, they prefer in the GOP primary.

Cuomo is taking a knock for not speaking out more on the state budget: 32 percent of voters say he's "politely deferring" to the current governor; 44 percent say Cuomo is "ducking" the issue.

The Q poll asked if voters think Cuomo has "done enough to explain" his plan to fix the budget. 23 percent said yes, 63 percent said no. (Only 34 percent of Democrats said yes, 52 percent of Democrats said no.)

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The Empire

Q Poll Focuses on Park51; Lazio, Sometimes, Doesn't

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Rick Lazio, and David Malpass, at a Tea Party 365 candidate forum. (Azi Paybarah / WNYC)

Just a little more about the Q poll and Park51 debate:

The Quinnipiac poll today is likely to guarantee the Park51 debate will get more than enough coverage inside the daily papers tomorrow -- and by that, I mean right now -- even though some of the editorial pages have been criticizing candidates for focusing too much on the issue.

The person often credited with being one of the first to oppose the project is Rick Lazio, the GOP candidate for governor who has gone all over national TV and radio talking about the issue. In fact, he's been so attached to the issue that critics say it's overshadowed the other stuff he should be talking about.

The Post fired a warning shot across Lazio's bow, warning him to talk about issues voters care about, which they said his rival, Carl Paladino, is doing.

The Daily News said Lazio was "shameless and shameful in exploiting passions over a planned Islamic center and mosque near Ground Zero."

And the New York Times editorial board was equally direct: "New Yorkers should be offended by Mr. Lazio’s attempt to exploit ground zero images for political gain."

Lazio, I think, has re-calibrated his message.

During a Tea Party forum last night, Lazio was asked how he would protect New York State from terrorists. Lazio spoke about expanding the Ring of Steel security initiative in Lower Manhattan, and fixing the broken security cameras in train stations. He also said cellphone reception underground should be improved, so people could text law enforcement if they see something suspicious, thus ensuring a "real time" response to any potential threat.

At no point during his answer did he mention Park51, even though his campaign aides ads seek to tie the project to September 11, Hamas and terrorists.

But in a scrum with reporters after the event, Lazio said he wasn't changing his focus away from Park51. He said he doesn't need to change the perception held by "the editorial boards" because "I think this is about where the people of New York are."

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The Empire

Q Poll: Cuomo Should Look into Park51 Funding

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

So, this will probably keep the Park51 debate going a little bit longer in the governor's race.

A new Quinnipiac poll
finds a majority of Democrats - 65-25 percent - say they want Andrew Cuomo to investigate funding for the group looking to build an Islamic cultural center near Ground Zero.

GOP gubernatorial candidate Rick Lazio has been tying Cuomo to the issue, and an AP story noted that Cuomo has been notably quiet about his support for the developers.

But editorial boards, like The Daily News and New York Post, have criticized Lazio for campaigning too much on this issue, and not discussing other topics more directly related to the day-to-day functions of governing New York.

At a lengthy Tea Party event in midtown yesterday, Lazio barely mentioned the issue.

Anyway, more from the poll:

54-40 % say Muslims have a right to build a mosque near Ground Zero "because of American freedom of religion."

53-39 % say the Muslim group "should not be allowed" to build a mosque there "because of the opposition of Ground Zero relatives."

71-21 % say developers "should voluntarily build the mosque somewhere else," because, "of the opposition of Ground Zero relatives."

71-22 % say AG Andrew Cuomo should investigate the financing of the mosque.

And 65-25 % of Democrats say that Cuomo should look into the mosque's financing.

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Azi Paybarah

Q Poll: Voters Don't Like Legislators, Don't Know AG Candidates

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

WNYC

Andrew Cuomo still holds a wide lead over his Republican gubernatorial challengers, in today's Quinnipiac poll.

Cuomo leads former Long Island congressman Rick Lazio 56 to 26 percent, with the race closest in the suburbs, 48 to 37 percent in favor of Cuomo. It's similar to Cuomo's lead over upstate businessman Carl Paladino, 55 to 25 percent, with the race closest in upstate where the split narrows to 44 to 34, favoring Cuomo.

But further down the ballot, things are more of a toss up.

Most noteworthy: voters are leaning towards ousting their incumbent legislator.

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Azi Paybarah

Q Poll: Obama is Down

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

WNYC

I'm not sure what kind of impact this will have in New York, but Quinnipiac's poll today puts the pendulum squarely in the Republican's corner:

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Azi Paybarah

Poll: Democrats Down on Unions

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

WNYC

By a margin of 56-36, city voters said in a Quinnipiac poll they feel union workers are not doing enough to help the city during the economic downturn.

Interestingly, it's an opinion shared by most Democrats, who agreed 49-36 percent that union workers aren't doing enough to help the city.

Despite that seeming lack of public support, a majority of voters opposed layoffs for city workers, 68-27 percent. To balance the budget, 48 percent of voters said they support raising taxes. Thirty-six percent said cut services, and 16 percent were undecided.

The poll also had approval ratings for some officials in the city:

Michael Bloomberg's approval rating: 57-33, with 10 percent undecided.

John Liu's approval rating: 47-17, with 36 percent undecided.

Christine Quinn's approval rating: 45-27, with 28 percent undecided

Bill de Blasio's approval rating: 35-17, with 48 percent undecided

Ray Kelly's approval rating: 66-20 with 14 percent undecided

Joel Klein's approval rating: 37-41 with 22 percent undecided

The poll of 1,183 registered voters in the city was conducted from June 21-28 and has a margin of error of 2.9 percent.

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Azi Paybarah

Q poll: Below 50%, Gillibrand Leads

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

WNYC

Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand leads her two Republican rivals, but her numbers are below 50 percent in nearly every category across the board, according to the Quinnipiac poll released today.

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Azi Paybarah

Q Poll: Cuomo Leads, But Voters Want Budget Info

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

WNYC

In the latest Quinnipiac poll, 64 - 21 percent of voters say Democrat Andrew Cuomo isn't explaining enough how he'd fix the state's budget problems.

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