Tuesday, March 13, 2012
A new Quinnipiac University poll is out and you know what that means: a new 2013 mayoral candidate question.
According to the poll, Council Cpeaker Christine Quinn continues to be the favorite of those polled, with 25 percent saying if they had to pick a candidate today, she'd be it.
Before we get to the rest of the numbers, it's worth noting two things about the poll. One, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly was not included as a potential candidate, unlike previous Quinnipiac surveys. And two, the continued troubles Comptroller John Liu has had over his campaign's fundraising practices.
Given both those, who appears to win from both situation? Former Comptroller Bill Thompson, followed by Speaker Quinn. Let's take a look at this poll's numbers, side-by-side the last poll in December.
To be fair, everyone did a little bit better. It will be interesting to see what the numbers look like when they drop Brooklyn Borough President Marty Markowitz's name from the list.
Also in the poll voters were asked if they believed Comptroller Liu should resign. A plurality--44 percent--said no, even as the number that said yes climbed significantly to 33 percent.
“Who should move into City Hall when Mayor Bloomberg moves out? Council Speaker Christine Quinn tops the list of usual suspects and has an impressive job approval,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement. “After the drum-beat of negative news, Comptroller John Liu’s job approval numbers are tepid, but New Yorkers don’t think he should quit.”
The poll surveyed 964 New York City voters between March 6 and 11. Its margin of error is plus or minus 3.2 percentage points. Both land lines and cell phones were used.
Thursday, February 16, 2012
So full disclaimer: just because we pay a tremendous amount of attention to a subject like redistricting (and go on air to argue why folks should be paying attention), it doesn't mean we're so divorced from reality in our little news bubble that we think that issues like redistricting burn hot in the hearts of New Yorkers.
But in the event that we were forgetting that simple truth, today's Quinnipiac University poll helped correct any illusions we might have been holding.
Or, as the release on the poll puts it, "New York State voters seem to be confused or disinterested by the latest developments in the issue of legislative redistricting."
Do they ever:
- 68 percent of voters don’t know whether or not state legislators kept their 2010 campaign promise to support an independent commission to create legislative district lines;
- 67 percent say they heard nothing about the new district lines created by state legislators;
- 71 percent don’t know whether or not they approve of these lines;
- 66 percent don’t know whether or not they want the governor to veto these lines.
“Politicians watch the redistricting dance with fascination. After all, it affects their future. But voters can’t or won’t follow this important – but not very sexy – issue,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement.
Thursday, February 16, 2012
In a new Quinnipiac University poll, voters provide a nuanced view of public school teachers. Overall, a plurality of voters (49 percent)--and a majority (54 percent) of those who are parents with kids in the system--have a favorable view of teachers. But half of them overall, and a majority (53 percent) of parents, think their union plays a negative role in the state's education system.
But when public school teachers are put head-to-head against Governor Andrew Cuomo to see who voters trust more to protect the interests of public school students, the Governor gets voters' support 50 – 38 percent, according to the poll.
“‘Consider me the lobbyist for the students,’ Gov. Andrew Cuomo said last month, and New Yorkers believe him," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement. "New York City voters did not provide that level of trust for Mayor Michael Bloomberg when they told us they trusted the teachers’ union more than the mayor to look out for the kids.”
Overall, those polled gave Cuomo a slim edge of approval for his handling of education at 45 – 42 percent. But when it comes to specific proposals, the Governor gets high grades on his agenda items:
- 64 – 31 percent support for merit pay for “outstanding” teachers;
- 67 – 26 percent, including 58 – 34 percent in union households and 73 – 25 percent among public school parents, support for making it easier to fire teachers;
- 87 – 9 percent, including 79 – 15 percent in union households and 89 – 9 percent among parents, support for basing teacher layoffs on performance rather than seniority.
The poll was taken as the teachers union and the City of New York struggle to reach an agreement on a teacher evaluation system. Cuomo has said he will impose his own system if an agreement is not met.
The poll was conducted between February 8 and 13. The survey consisted of 1,233 New York State voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. Both landlines and cell phones were used to reach participants.
Wednesday, February 15, 2012
How many more ways can it be said: New York voters continue to give Governor Andrew Cuomo high marks--the highest of any governor in the states polled--according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.
Cuomo's job approval rating is at 69 percent among all voters, and 64 percent among Republicans. This is up ever so slightly from his 68 percent approval rating back in December. Likewise, 64 percent of those polled like him as a person.
"When will the honeymoon end? Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s job approval numbers moved up last year and they stay up. New Yorkers like him as a person and, equally, they like his policies,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement.
They might like him, but voters are split when it comes to the process to make gambling in New York State legal.
While 54 percent of those polled supported creating a destination casino resort, on par with what's available in Atlantic City, the support for changing the constitution to do so slipped to 50 percent. And an interesting gender divide has emerged: whereas only 44 percent of women support the constitutional change, 56 percent of the men polled are in favor of it.
The poll was conducted between February 8 and 13. Quinnipiac survey 1,233 New York State voters. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
As a new Quinnipiac poll says, support for an independent commission to try new political boundaries is on the rise. More than half--52 percent--of those polled said said it was time for the Legislature to hand over the line drawing to someone else.
“Drawing new legislative and congressional district lines will be high on Albany’s 2012 agenda. Quinnipiac University has been tracking this sleeper issue for some time and we see support for an independent commission to draw the lines is edging up,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in the report. Carroll noted that 56 percent of those polled believed that an independent commission should be devoid of legislators.
Lastly, the poll shows that more than two-thirds of those polled support Las Vegas-style casinos in New York.
New York voters are less sure when it comes to hydrofracking. The drilling process is supported by 44 percent of those polled, while 45 percent are opposed to it. New York City and upstate voters are less in favor of bringing hydrofracking to New York--49 and 48 percent respectively--while 53 percent of suburban voters support drilling.
“Another big 2012 issue – hydro-fracking – has New Yorkers split right down the middle. Overwhelmingly, voters think it would produce jobs. A smaller majority worries that it would damage the environment,” Carroll said.
The poll surveyed 1,143 registered voters and has a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Today on "The Capitol Pressroom":
If Spitzer was the luv guv, could Cuomo be the beluved guv? Quinnipiac pollster Maurice Carroll joins Susan with his latest survey of registered voters which gives an early Christmas present to Governor Cuomo. The highest approval ratings of his tenure: 68 to 17 percent of voters approve of the job the Governor is doing. The Governor even has 63% approval among the GOP. Can it be sustained?
Advocates for the developmentally disabled are watching the Governor like a hawk this week waiting to see if he’ll sign legislation to create an abuse prevention notification system. Joining us will be the sponsor of the legislation in Assembly (A8330), Harvey Weisenberg and Bridgit Burke, an Associate Clinical Professor & Director of the Civil Rights and Disabilities Law Clinic at Albany Law School.
Calling all artistes! The lines that designate voting districts in the state have been given two thumbs down by such notable critics as Common Cause, so the critics have turned the tables, developing an on-line mapping tool for people like you to give it a shot. At the same time, the group has come up with its own version of maps, “drawn according to good government principles”. Common Cause Executive Director Susan Lerner shows off her collection.
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
The majority of New York voters seem to think Governor Andrew Cuomo can do no wrong. According to a new Quinnipiac University poll, the Governor's approval rating stands at 68 percent--the highest he's scored with Quinnipiac during his first year in office.
And this despite 40 percent of voters believing the recent tax reform package engineered by Cuomo was indeed a tax increase. It was a tax decrease for 28 percent of those polled, a more than a third said they weren't sure. When asked how they thought it would affect their taxes, 43 percent also said they were unsure.
“Whatever they think about the tax deal, New Yorkers still love their governor. Andrew Cuomo’s job approval hits a new high, higher than we’ve seen since the post-9/11 approval ratings for Gov. George Pataki,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in the report.“Voters like Gov. Cuomo as a person 65 – 13 percent and they like his policies."
And this despite the fact that nearly half of those polled--47 percent--believe the Governor did not keep his promise to not raise taxes. Additionally, 42 – 23 percent, with 35 percent undecided, believe Cuomo broke his promise to end government by "three men in a room."
“That transparent government that Gov. Cuomo promised? Opaque is more like it. A lot of voters think that, in the quickie tax deal, Cuomo broke his promise to end Albany’s tradition of ‘three men in a room,'" Carroll said.
Yet, despite all this, 63 percent of those polled gave Cuomo either an "A" or a "B" as a grade on his first year as Governor.
Thursday, December 15, 2011
The fundraising controversy surrounding City Comptroller John Liu has taken its toll, according to a new Quinnipiac poll. Only 38 percent of those New York City voters polled gave Liu the thumbs up--that's down from his high of 57 percent back in May.
While Liu's standing in the 2013 field doesn't appear to have changed--he's always been pulling single-digit support--voter's sense of his qualifications as mayor are dismal. Among the three citywide(-ish--Quinn wasn't technically elected citywide) Democrats potentially running in 2013--Speaker Christine Quinn, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio, and Liu--46 percent of those polled said Liu would not make a good mayor. That's compared to 37 percent for Quinn and 22 percent for de Blasio.
“New York City Comptroller John Liu has been in the news a lot, in a bad way. All those negative stories about his fundraising have zapped his job-approval numbers,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in the release. “And voters say almost 2-1 that he would not be a good mayor.
“City Council Speaker Christine Quinn and Public Advocate Bill de Blasio have OK job approval ratings, but voters don’t seem enchanted with the prospect of either elected official as mayor."
But don't take this as a sure sign Liu's 2013 ambitions are dead in the water. Looking at his job approval number details, he's still managing to receive the majority of Black voters and a plurality of Hispanic voters' support. In other words, the multi-racial coalition, backed by labor (there's been no indication the labor-backed Working Families Party has thr5own him under the bus, despite his current spat with Teamster Local president Gregory Floyd), hasn't broken up--at least not in the polls.
Of course, both groups gave Speaker Quinn higher marks, just reinforcing her position as the front runner.
Wednesday, December 14, 2011
On more quick Quinnipiac poll finding.
By a ratio of nearly 3-to-1, voters across all political affiliations support the passage of the living wage bill that's been proposed in the City Council.
"True to its image as a liberal town, New York gives big support to the City Council plan to require a 'Living Wage' by companies that do business with the city. Does the government have an obligation to mandate a living wage? Overwhelmingly, voters say yes,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in the release about the poll.
Wednesday, December 14, 2011
The Occupation looks to have won a few more hearts and minds than Mayor Michael Bloomberg, according to a new Quinnipiac poll. New York City voters, who are down on Bloomberg the mayor but up on OWS and its message, disapprove 51 to 42 percent of the way the Mayor handled the protesters in Zuccotti Park. The Occupation conducted itself appropriately said 52 percent of those polled.
“The Occupy Wall Street protesters outscored Mayor Michael Bloomberg in the eyes of New York City voters: The mayor gets a slightly negative grade for the way he handled the situation while the protestors get a slightly positive grade,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in the release.
New Yorkers are also not stoked on the job the Mayor is doing. Among those polled, the mayor's job approval rating was 49 to 42 percent. Despite being in office for 10 years nearly 1-in-10 voters still aren't sure how he's doing.
But this doesn't mean they don't like the guy: 64 percent say they like Bloomberg as a person.
“New Yorkers like Mayor Mike personally and they sort of like his policies, but his job approval meanders far below those heady days late in his second term," noted Carroll. "Voters continue to think that he’s lost his focus in this third term.”
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
More than three-quarters of New York voters polled in a new Quinnipiac University survey say they want an independent commission, with little to no legislative input, to draw new political lines. According to the poll, 48 percent said they wanted a completely independent commission drawing lines, while 28 percent said one with some legislative input was prefered.
A plurality of those polled--45 percent--said Governor Andrew Cuomo should make good on his promise of vetoing lines drawn by state legislators. Nearly a quarter of respondents weren't sure.
Interestingly support for the veto has been falling from a 49 percent high back in August.
In terms of how lines should be drawn, 53 percent said they want districts to be drawn without taking the incumbent into account. The only group polled that disagreed? African Americans, who, by a plurality of 47 percent, felt lines should be drawn to protect incumbents.
When it comes to drawing districts that take race and ethnicity into account--something we've been writing about--those polled were vehemently against the idea, with 72 percent of respondents saying districts shouldn't be based on racial or ethnic requirements. Among black voters, a majority--50 percent--agreed.
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Wanted to just break this out from the rest of the Quinnipiac results:
Regardless of who else is running, City Council Speaker Christine Quinn continues to lead all other rivals with Democratic voters. Among all voters, when added to the equation, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly remains at the top of the heap.
At this point, though, the 2013 polls remain mostly a name recognition game:
- Police Commissioner Ray Kelly -- 25 percent, with 17 percent of Democrats;
- City Council Speaker Christine Quinn – 17 percent, with 22 percent of Democrats;
- Brooklyn Borough President Marty Markowitz – 14 percent, with 15 percent of Democrats;
- City Comptroller John Liu – 10 percent, with 10 percent of Democrats;
- Former City Comptroller William Thompson – 8 percent, with 9 percent of Democrats;
- Public Advocate Bill de Blasio – 6 percent, with 7 percent of Democrats;
- Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer – 5 percent, with 6 percent of Democrats
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
More than half of respondents in a new Quinnipiac poll say Mayor Bloomberg has lost focus during his third term, which the mayor was able to serve thanks to a controversial overturn of city law. According to the poll, 52 percent of New York City voters polled said the mayor was adrift.
Likewise, the bump in job approval number the mayor received after the tropical storm scare earlier this summer has been erased. The mayor's post-storm job approval high was 52 percent on September 12. It's now fallen back back to near the 45 percent mark it was at on July 27, according to Quinnipiac.
Tuesday, October 18, 2011
While the media debates exactly what the month-long protest in Zuccotti Park in downtown Manhattan means, voters throughout New York have made it clear they support Occupy Wall Street.
A new poll released this morning by Siena Research Institute follows up on a poll yesterday from Quinnipiac with similar results. In the Siena poll, 58 percent of respondents said the protesters "represent the 99 percent of people that will no longer tolerate the greed and corruption of the remaining one percent."
The Quinnipiac results were even more favorable: fully two-thirds of those polled said they agreed with the views of the Wall Street protesters.
Interestingly, in both polls, even as a majority of self-declared Republicans disagree with the views of the protesters, at least 30 percent in each poll have a favorable view or agree with them.
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
A new Quinnipiac poll shows Governor Andrew Cuomo's approval ratings remain high, buoyed by a favorable response to his handling of the recent hurricanes and subsequent flooding.
Voters gave Cuomo an 86 percent approval rating for his handling of the Irene and Lee storms. His overall approval is at 66 percent, which Quinnipiac notes is "the highest score for any governor in states surveyed by Quinnipiac University and among the highest for any New York governor[.]"
“New York’s love affair with Gov. Andrew Cuomo persists, perhaps helped along by Irene and Lee,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement. “Yes, we like him. Yes, we like his policies. Yes, we think he did a good job on the tropical storms. Yes, he’s dominating the legislature. Maybe we should ask about his Queens accent.”
Voters are also telling Cuomo they want independent redistricting, according to the poll. Of those polled, 50 percent say they want an independent commission to redraw political boundaries. But how's this for low expectations: even more--55 percent--do not believe the governor or the state legislature will keep their promises made during the 2010 elections to use an independent redistricting process.
“New Yorkers don’t want the State Legislature to draw the district lines that decide where they and members of Congress will get elected. Half prefer an independent commission. Some think there should be some legislative say,” Carroll said. “But most voters don’t believe that New York’s political leaders will keep their word.
“We chose a provocative word deliberately and almost half of the voters say they’d feel ‘betrayed’ if elected officials don’t change the districting system.”
Monday, September 12, 2011
New Yorkers are back on Mayor Bloomberg's side, thanks to his handling of Hurricane Irene according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released this morning. The mayor's job approval rating is up to 54 percent from 45 percent in late July. The vast majority of those polled -- 86 percent -- approved of the mayor's handling of Hurricane Irene.
“Maybe it was the decisive preparations for Irene – Bloomberg’s job approval has moved up nicely. As usual, Manhattan likes him best of all,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement. “This survey was conducted after Hurricane Irene and during the storm about Deputy Mayor Stephen Goldsmith’s arrest – but maybe that second storm is a tempest in a teapot.
“The critics cried ‘overkill!’ But most people agreed with the mayor, ‘better safe than sorry.’ Overwhelmingly, Bloomberg’s handling of Irene gets high marks.”
Thursday, August 11, 2011
A poll released this morning by Quinnipiac University showed a plurality of those polled support hydrofracking as an economic boon, not seeing it as an ecological peril, by a 47–42 percent margin. Support, however, is largely divided by familiar geographic lines, as 51 percent of upstate and 52 percent of suburban voters support drilling, compared to only 38 percent in New York City.
While New Yorkers support the economic benefits, the majority of those polled--52 percent--believed hydrofracking in the Marcellus Shale will cause environmental damage.
"Drill for the jobs, New Yorkers say, even though they’re worried about the environmental effects of hydro-fracking," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement. "And while we’re drilling for natural gas, let’s tax those drilling companies, voters say 59–29 percent. Even Republicans support this tax."
The poll was conducted August 3 – 8. 1,640 registered voters were surveyed. Poll results had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.
Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Those are the top choices for words that described Governor Andrew Cuomo, according to a Quinnipiac poll released this morning. The poll surveyed 1,640 New Yorkers and found almost all of the top 30 descriptors to be positive; "arrogant," "liberal" and "dissapointed" were the possible negatives pollsters identified. Astonishingly there was only one genuine crusty soul out of the whole lot who chose to sum up the governor using vulgarity.
Voters continue to give the governor high job approval marks--62 percent, down a bit from last month's 64 percent.
Likewise, the Empire State thinks the governor is a better leader than both New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, 51–35 percent, and President Barack Obama--46–38 percent.
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Quinnipiac Polling is set to release a poll tomorrow that shows the one word people use to describe Governor Andrew Cuomo but we thought we'd conduct our own, unofficial poll. What's the one word you would use to describe the governor?
Post your word in the comment section or Tweet at us @TheEmpireBlog with the hashtag #cuomoinaword.