Streams

 

Predictions

The Leonard Lopate Show

Predicting the Key Moments of 2015 With The Amazing Kreskin

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

The Amazing Kreskin will offer his predictions for 2015, and do other acts of prognostication and mentalism on air.

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Freakonomics Radio

The Folly of Prediction (Rebroadcast)

Thursday, August 22, 2013

Human beings love to predict the future, but we're quite terrible at it. So how about punishing all those bad predictions?

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On The Media

Predicting Oscar Winners

Friday, February 22, 2013

The prediction models used to forecast the outcome of the 2012 presidential elections are now being used on another major event: the Academy Awards. Bob speaks with Microsoft researcher David Rothschild about his predictions for the 2013 Oscars.

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The Takeaway

In a New Year, Comfort from Predictions of What's to Come

Tuesday, January 01, 2013

In the face of a new year, many of us take comfort in predictions of what's to come. Bill O'Toole is in the business of divining the future. He is the prognosticator of the 217-year-old J. Gruber's Hagerstown and Country Almanack.

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The Takeaway

Can Superstition Predict Presidential Elections?

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

So many dollars, so many votes, so much punditry. But does any of it really matter? It all just comes down to luck, right? Jacopo Della Quercia, a Cracked.com contributor, discusses election superstition.

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The Leonard Lopate Show

Making Predictions

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Sam Wang, Associate professor, Department of Molecular Biology and the Princeton Neuroscience Institute, of the Princeton Election Consortium helps us break down what to expect as voters go to the polls today.

 

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The Leonard Lopate Show

Nate Silver on Making Predictions

Monday, October 08, 2012

Nate Silver looks at how predictions are made, and why experts and laypeople both mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. He explains that overconfidence is often the reason for failure, and if our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can too. In The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don’t Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA.

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On The Media

Nate Silver on the Pitfalls of Prediction

Friday, October 05, 2012

Nate Silver is something of an authority on political forecasting. In 2008, his blog FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted the outcome of the presidential race in 49 out of 50 states. (In that same election, he was also right about all 35 senate races.) Bob sits down with Silver to talk about the 2012 election as well as his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

Prefuse 73 - Pagina Cinco

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The Takeaway

Nate Silver on the Science of Prediction

Monday, October 01, 2012

Political junkies, economists, baseball scouts, meteorologists, and basically everyone else in the world is constantly trying to predict the future. And yet with the overwhelming amount of data that came with the information age, forecasters are often wrong — if not completely shocked — by the results.

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The Takeaway

Is it Human Nature to Predict the End of the World?

Friday, May 20, 2011

Have a great day today, listeners, because for many of you it will be your last — according to Harold Camping, a Californian radio preacher. He says the world will end tomorrow, May 21st. And his followers across the country are attempting to persuade unbelievers before it is too late. Harold Camping has predicted the end of the world before, and so have many others. Fortunately they haven't come true, so we have to ask, why do prophecy beliefs remain popular?

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WNYC News

Predicting the Chances of Another Nuclear Accident in Japan

Monday, March 14, 2011

People will bet on just about anything.

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The Brian Lehrer Show

Following-Up: Political Prediction Contest Winners

Friday, November 12, 2010

Before last week's election, we asked you to play pundit and pick the winning candidates and make other predictions. We now ask two contest winners to discuss their picks: Nick Rizzo, a freelance journalist who regularly writes about politics for Capital New York, and Jennifer Ambler, a Queens-based actress who also works as a temp/tax preparer/math tutor.

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The Takeaway

Looking Ahead to 2010 on the Silver Screen

Friday, January 01, 2010

As we usher in the New Year, the big screen seems te be traveling backwards in time, bringing back remakes and sequels of classics from the 1980s. We talk with Rafer Guzman, the film critic for Newsday, about what’s in store at the box office in 2010.  On tap: sequels to "Tron," "Wall Street," and "Iron Man" and "Sex and the City."

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