It's back to the polls today to choose between the top two vote-getters in the Democratic primary to succeed Bill de Blasio as Public Advocate. Who gets your support? Daniel Squadron or Letitia James? Call 212-433-9692 or post below.
It's Election Day! We talk to reporters, look at the important story lines, and more importantly take your calls. With:
Plus, reporters from crucial swing states discuss the latest polls and how their states are shaping up on Election Day:
Seth Stephens-Davidowitz, doctoral candidate in economics at Harvard, says that if you really want to know what the average American is thinking about when it comes politics, don’t ask them — ask Google. Among the things you may be surprised to learn? "Paul Ryan shirtless" gets Googled nine times more often than "Paul Ryan budget."
Although you may not realize it, depending on whether you lean Republican or Democrat, you might be more inclined to buy certain products. Ted Marzilli collects and analyzes that data.
If Washington could attract the same talent as Silicon Valley, maybe Congress wouldn't have the lowest approval ratings in history.
Schools and teachers are still reeling from the release and publication of their performance ratings -- particularly at two Brooklyn schools, where teachers received low ratings despite the schools' otherwise excellent reputations. Also, how Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg's proposed budget could affect child care and after-school programs.
Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo is at his peak of popularity, but only a slim majority of voters in New York believe that he will fulfill his declaration to be a lobbyist for students, a new poll by the Siena College Research Institute found.
Political polls need to determine who's likely to vote and who isn't. Pollsters rely on people to tell them whether they're going to vote or not - but it turns out that may not be the best plan for creating accurate polling numbers. Bob talks with Slate's Sasha Issenberg about a study which found that 55 percent of voters who tell pollsters they won't vote actually do.
Nicolas Jaar - Problems With the Sun
Pollster lingo for a politician’s popularity rating at any given moment is favorability. Voters are asked: do you like your public official right now? And at this moment the answer is an unqualified 'no'. Brooke talks to pollster Tom Jensen, who recently embarked on a quest to figure out who exactly Americans are still able to agree that they do like.
Bill Evans – Santa Claus is Coming to Town
Earlier this week we asked our listeners to participate in a flash poll about GOP candidates participating in the 10th presidential debate. With so many Republican debates so far (Wednesday was the 10th), and so may to go (12 more), we wanted to see how listeners might thin the herd. We wanted to know: of the four candidates polling the lowest, who would you "vote off" the next debate? The choices were Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rep. Michele Bachmann (Minn.), and Jon Huntsman. Who did you choose?
Dissatisfaction over Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg's handling of the city's schools; protests over lost pre-kindergarten seats, school contamination and budget cuts; and, oh yes, SchoolBook are all in the news today -- the last day before the public schools open to students in New York City.
New Yorkers’ opinions of teachers appears to have improved in the last seven years, a new New York Times poll shows. In 2004, 22 percent of poll respondents said that teachers were the best thing about their child’s public school. This year, 33 percent called teachers the best thing, and more parents answered teachers than anything else both times.
Seventy-five percent of New Yorkers think the National 9/11 Memorial Museum should be free, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday.
Marist Pollster Lee Miringoff has an explanation for why Andrew Cuomo's latest poll numbers are so high with just about every different kind of New York voter.
"They see him as a moderate," Miringoff said in an interview with NY1 tonight about the poll.
"We hear so much about polarization in our politics today," Miringoff said. "Andrew Cuomo is not a polarizing figure. Democrats, Republicans, independents, New York City, the suburbs and upstaters all pretty much saying, 'Hmm, I kind of like this guy.' "
Miringof, smartly, explains the fault lines Cuomo is deftly navigating at the moment.
"The gap in New York State politics today is not Democrats and Republicans against Cuomo, or for Cuomo. It's between the executive, Andrew Cuomo, and the State Assembly and State legislature," he said.
"Could the overall chamber be held in lower esteem? Not really," said Miringoff. Only 1 percent said either the State Assembly, or State Senate, were doing an "excellent" job.
My favorite number from the poll: when asked if Cuomo is changing "Albany for the better," voters who have a union member in their household agreed, 57-29.
Nate Silver has a counter-intuitive take on why Andrew Cuomo is proceeding so cautiously into his first budget presentation: despite the large election he won, he isn't coming to Albany with much of a mandate.
Appearing on the New Yrok Times Close-Up this weekend, Silver said:
Cuomo won a weird election. it was more of an anti-[Carl]Paladino vote. It wasn't really a mandate, despite the size of the margin. He had a very low turnout throughout the state. So, he's still introducing himself to New Yorkers. And I don't think we've really fully formed our opinions about him yet. So I think, especially now, his first major action - the way it's portrayed - could shape perceptions of him for months.
It is true that Cuomo won a large margin without doing much to raise the profile of the race. (He declined several opportunities to appear on national tv shows, or to give lengthy, possibly news-making speeches in places like Crain's business breakfast or the Association for a Better New York.)
When asked about the snow storm, 71 percent of adults said they disapproved of how the mayor handled it. When asked about the legacy the mayor will leave behind, only 39 percent thought it would be a positive one.
The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll shows that 60 percent of Americans say the Afghanistan war is "not worth fighting." This is a record low in public support of the war. Mary Galeti, the wife of Afghanistan veteran First Lieutenant Russell Galeti, and Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs and author of "How Wars End: Why We Always Fight the Last Battle," describe their observations of public opinion, and what it might mean for the Obama administration's efforts in Afghanistan going forward.
The knocking down of polls is one of the more direct forms of aggression in the full-contact sports that is politics.
The latest example comes courtesy of Dan Morris, a spokesman for the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union, who is trying to bat down the results of a poll showing New Yorkers would be receptive to the opening of a Wal-Mart store here.
Morris' method of attack: connect the poll to Bloomberg:
"The poll was conducted by Doug Schoen, a member of Michael Bloomberg’s inner circle, who now joins Bloomberg’s campaign manager Bradley Tusk and Bloomberg’s Deputy Mayor Howard Wolfson in shilling for Walmart. Basic details about methodology, sample size, and interview questions have been deliberately withheld because this is not a credible poll. It was bought and paid for by Walmart. It’s just as deceitful as the polling Bloomberg’s operatives promoted during the 2009 mayoral race: they eventually admitted they knew it had been a tight race all along, after misleading voters and the public."