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The Brian Lehrer Show

What's Behind de Blasio's Racial Optimism Gap?

Friday, March 21, 2014

Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Director Maurice Carroll helps decode the recent Quinnipiac poll, which found that black and Hispanic voters were much more optimistic about the future than white voters in NYC, among other things.

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The Brian Lehrer Show

Informal, Unofficial, Thoroughly Unscientific Exit Poll: NYC Public Advocate Runoff

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

It's back to the polls today to choose between the top two vote-getters in the Democratic primary to succeed Bill de Blasio as Public Advocate. Who gets your support? Daniel Squadron or Letitia James? Call 212-433-9692 or post below.

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The Brian Lehrer Show

Uncounted Primary Votes

Friday, September 13, 2013

The NYC Board of Elections reports that there remain almost 80,000 uncounted paper ballots from Tuesday's primary election. Neal Rosenstein, government reform coordinator for NYPIRG, explains why so many voters encountered problems at the polls -- and how their votes factor into the odds of a runoff between Bill Thompson and Bill de Blasio.

 

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The Brian Lehrer Show

Election Day Call-In: Voting After Sandy, and Voting in the Swing States

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

It's Election Day! We talk to reporters, look at the important story lines, and more importantly take your calls. With:

  • WNYC's Richard Hake and New Jersey Public Radio's David Furst with the latest news on voting and the Sandy recovery, with NJPR's Nancy Solomon and WNYC's Beth Fertig and Bob Hennelly

  • Your calls for our Informal, Unofficial, Thoroughly Unscientific Exit Poll: How is post-Sandy voting going? What does voting today mean to you? Call 646-829-3980 or post below!

Plus, reporters from crucial swing states discuss the latest polls and how their states are shaping up on Election Day:

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Slate Political Gabfest

Slate: The Chris Christie Is My Co-Pilot Gabfest

Friday, November 02, 2012

Slate's Political Gabfest, featuring David Plotz, John Dickerson and Emily Bazelon. This week: Sandy and the race, the race after Sandy and the Nate Silver backlash.

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The Takeaway

What Our Google Habits Reveal About Our Voting Habits

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Seth Stephens-Davidowitz, doctoral candidate in economics at Harvard, says that if you really want to know what the average American is thinking about when it comes politics, don’t ask them — ask Google. Among the things you may be surprised to learn? "Paul Ryan shirtless" gets Googled nine times more often than "Paul Ryan budget."

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The Takeaway

Do Democrats and Republicans Prefer Different Brands?

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Although you may not realize it, depending on whether you lean Republican or Democrat, you might be more inclined to buy certain products. Ted Marzilli collects and analyzes that data.

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It's A Free Blog

Opinion: No Surprise Best and Brightest Don't Wind Up in DC

Wednesday, May 23, 2012

If Washington could attract the same talent as Silicon Valley, maybe Congress wouldn't have the lowest approval ratings in history.

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Schoolbook

Examining Teacher Rankings

Monday, March 05, 2012

Schools and teachers are still reeling from the release and publication of their performance ratings -- particularly at two Brooklyn schools, where teachers received low ratings despite the schools' otherwise excellent reputations. Also, how Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg's proposed budget could affect child care and after-school programs.

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Schoolbook

Lobbyist for Students? New Yorkers Have Their Doubts

Monday, January 16, 2012

Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo is at his peak of popularity, but only a slim majority of voters in New York believe that he will fulfill his declaration to be a lobbyist for students, a new poll by the Siena College Research Institute found.

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On The Media

The Problem With Likely Voters

Friday, December 23, 2011

Political polls need to determine who's likely to vote and who isn't. Pollsters rely on people to tell them whether they're going to vote or not - but it turns out that may not be the best plan for creating accurate polling numbers. Bob talks with Slate's Sasha Issenberg about a study which found that 55 percent of voters who tell pollsters they won't vote actually do.

Nicolas Jaar - Problems With the Sun

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On The Media

More Popular Than Jesus

Friday, December 02, 2011

Pollster lingo for a politician’s popularity rating at any given moment is favorability. Voters are asked: do you like your public official right now? And at this moment the answer is an unqualified 'no'. Brooke talks to pollster Tom Jensen, who recently embarked on a quest to figure out who exactly Americans are still able to agree that they do like.

Bill Evans – Santa Claus is Coming to Town

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The Takeaway

Flash Poll: Which GOP Candidate Would You Vote Off?

Friday, October 21, 2011

Earlier this week we asked our listeners to participate in a flash poll about GOP candidates participating in the 10th presidential debate. With so many Republican debates so far (Wednesday was the 10th), and so may to go (12 more), we wanted to see how listeners might thin the herd. We wanted to know: of the four candidates polling the lowest, who would you "vote off" the next debate? The choices were Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rep. Michele Bachmann (Minn.), and Jon Huntsman. Who did you choose? 

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The Takeaway

How Important Are Political Polls?

Thursday, September 08, 2011

The Republican candidates battled it out in a debate Wednesday night, no doubt hoping that scoring points against each other might edge them ahead in the polls. President Obama and his campaign team are hoping the polls start leaning in his favor after his key jobs speech on job creation tonight. Currently, the president’s approval ratings are at an all-time low.

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Schoolbook

On Eve of Back-to-School, Unhappy Parents and Protests

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

Dissatisfaction over Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg's handling of the city's schools; protests over lost pre-kindergarten seats, school contamination and budget cuts; and, oh yes, SchoolBook are all in the news today -- the last day before the public schools open to students in New York City.

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Schoolbook

In Poll, Parents Give Teachers Extra Credit

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

New Yorkers’ opinions of teachers appears to have improved in the last seven years, a new New York Times poll shows. In 2004, 22 percent of poll respondents said that teachers were the best thing about their child’s public school. This year, 33 percent called teachers the best thing, and more parents answered teachers than anything else both times.

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Features

Most New Yorkers Think 9/11 Museum Should Be Free: Poll

Thursday, July 28, 2011

Seventy-five percent of New Yorkers think the National 9/11 Memorial Museum should be free, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday.

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The Empire

poll: voters like Cuomo, don't love legislators

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Governor Cuomo has across-the-board appeal, according to the latest Marist poll. (azi paybarah / wnyc)

Marist Pollster Lee Miringoff has an explanation for why Andrew Cuomo's latest poll numbers are so high with just about every different kind of New York voter.

"They see him as a moderate," Miringoff said in an interview with NY1 tonight about the poll.

"We hear so much about polarization in our politics today," Miringoff said. "Andrew Cuomo is not a polarizing figure. Democrats, Republicans, independents, New York City, the suburbs and upstaters all pretty much saying, 'Hmm, I kind of like this guy.' "

Miringof, smartly, explains the fault lines Cuomo is deftly navigating at the moment.

"The gap in New York State politics today is not Democrats and Republicans against Cuomo, or for Cuomo. It's between the executive, Andrew Cuomo, and the State Assembly and State legislature," he said.

"Could the overall chamber be held in lower esteem? Not really," said Miringoff. Only 1 percent said either the State Assembly, or State Senate, were doing an "excellent" job.

My favorite number from the poll: when asked if Cuomo is changing "Albany for the better," voters who have a union member in their household agreed, 57-29.

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The Empire

Nate Silver: Cuomo is 'still introducing himself' to New Yorkers

Monday, January 24, 2011

Nate Silver has a counter-intuitive take on why Andrew Cuomo is proceeding so cautiously into his first budget presentation: despite the large election he won, he isn't coming to Albany with much of a mandate.

Appearing on the New Yrok Times Close-Up this weekend, Silver said:

Cuomo won a weird election. it was more of an anti-[Carl]Paladino vote. It wasn't really a mandate, despite the size of the margin. He had a very low turnout throughout the state. So, he's still introducing himself to New Yorkers. And I don't think we've really fully formed our opinions about him yet. So I think, especially now, his first major action - the way it's portrayed - could shape perceptions of him for months.

It is true that Cuomo won a large margin without doing much to raise the profile of the race. (He declined several opportunities to appear on national tv shows, or to give lengthy, possibly news-making speeches in places like Crain's business breakfast or the Association for a Better New York.)

But a recent Siena poll found Cuomo, and his agenda, pretty well-supported.

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The Empire

'Lowest approval rating since taking office'

Thursday, January 06, 2011

Mayor Bloomberg's approval rating. (Marist Poll)

According to a new NY1-Marist poll, Mayor Bloomberg's approval rating is now at 37 percent, the "lowest approval rating since taking office."In October, it was 50 percent.

Most of it is chalked up to the botched response to the blizzard. But, the CityTime scandal and rollout of the new schools chancellor probably didn't help either.

When asked about the snow storm, 71 percent of adults said they disapproved of how the mayor handled it. When asked about the legacy the mayor will leave behind, only 39 percent thought it would be a positive one.

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