Wednesday, July 28, 2010
Andrew Cuomo still holds a wide lead over his Republican gubernatorial challengers, in today's Quinnipiac poll.
Cuomo leads former Long Island congressman Rick Lazio 56 to 26 percent, with the race closest in the suburbs, 48 to 37 percent in favor of Cuomo. It's similar to Cuomo's lead over upstate businessman Carl Paladino, 55 to 25 percent, with the race closest in upstate where the split narrows to 44 to 34, favoring Cuomo.
But further down the ballot, things are more of a toss up.
Most noteworthy: voters are leaning towards ousting their incumbent legislator.
Thursday, July 15, 2010
More voters want to replace Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, rather than return her to office, according to a Siena poll released today.
Forty-three percent of voters said they “prefer someone else,” compared to the 34 percent who said they wanted to “elect Gillibrand.”
A majority of Democratic voters supporting electing her, 42-32 percent, and, predictably, a majority of Republicans oppose her, 59-20.
Gillibrand is losing among independent and unaffiliated voters, who want to replace her, 48-32 percent. In New York City, voters are split on keeping Gillibrand; 36 percent says keep her, 35 percent get someone else.
But there’s a silver lining for Gillibrand: she has no strong Democratic opponent (sorry Gail Goode), and her Republican rivals haven’t solidified voters on that side of the aisle.
The leading GOP challenger to Gillibrand is Joe DioGuardi, who leads the three-person field with 24 percent of the vote. Another 64 percent of voters say they don't know enough about DioGuardi, or the other candidates, Bruce Blakeman and David Malpass, to have an opinion.
Blakeman is a former legislator from Long Island, and Malpass was a White House official under President Bush. DioGuardi, a former congressman from Westchester, has the distinct advantage of having a daughter be an American Idol judge, boosting his name recognition somewhat.
Overall, the inability for Republicans to really capitalize on this race speaks to the wider issue of New York not having much of a functioning two-party system anymore.
Former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuilani opted not to run, as did former Governor George Pataki. Former Senator Alfonse D’Amato is now a lobbyist raising money for the leading Democratic gubernatorial candidate. D’Amato is also backing Blakeman, giving some astute (cynical?) observers the distinct impression D'Amato is ensuring Gillibrand's victory.
D'Amato, after all, was pretty happy to see Gillibrand get into the office in the fist place.
Friday, July 02, 2010
In a video I posted earlier, Bruce Blakeman argued that America's allies were meeting with leaders from rogue nations in more frequency under Obama than they were under Bush--signaling America was losing it's strength in international diplomacy.
"The president of Brazil met with the President of Syria. Assad. Bashar Assad. I cannot think that if George Bush was still president, that the President of Brazil would meet with the Syrian president. I cannot imagine a scenario where that would happen," Blakeman said.
A reader points out that, in fact, Brazil's President, Lula da Silva, already met with Syria's president...in 2003.
Friday, July 02, 2010
Dickter's interview with Blakeman got refershingly deep into the weeds of foreign policy.
Around the 3:30 minute mark, Blakeman says the US is no longer preventing allies from talking to rogue or unfriendly nations.
"The president of Brazil met with the President of Syria. Assad. Bashar Assad. I cannot think that if George Bush was still president, that the President of Brazil would meet with the Syrian president. I cannot imagine a scenario where that would happen."
Around the 4:10 mark, Blakeman hits Gillibrand for not bringing the White House closer into Israel’s corner:
"So, I think there’s a fundamental shift away from Israel and towards the Palestinians, by the administration. Senator Gillibrand has been absolutely silent on that, and I think that has emboldened Iran."
On the home front, Blakeman praised Chris Christie as someone "reflecting the new Republican Party." When asked about Sarah Palin, Blakeman was complimentary, but not non-committal about her 2012 chances.
“I think there’s a perception that she’s not smart. I think she’s very smart. I think she does have great communication skills, leadership skills, but there a lot of good Republicans out there who could be potential presidential candidates, and I think Sarah Palin is just one of them.”
Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand leads her two Republican rivals, but her numbers are below 50 percent in nearly every category across the board, according to the Quinnipiac poll released today.