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Report: Local Temperatures May Exceed Historical Norms in 34 Years

Thursday, October 10, 2013

A member of the ONG Sierra Club wearing a polar bear costume demonstrates against the countries who according to them are avoiding the climate change issue, in a beach in Cancun on December 3, 2010. (Ronaldo Schemidt/AFP/Getty)

A new report says that average temperatures in New York will be hotter than ever, at least in recorded history, by the year 2047.

Scientists from the University of Hawaii at Manoa compared average temperatures around the world to forecast models, to find what they call "climate departure" dates. That's the date after which all future years are predicted to be hotter than ever recorded for that area. Their study was published in Nature on Thursday.

David Wolfe is a professor of plant and soil ecology, and chairs the Climate Change Focus Group at Cornell University. He told WNYC that existing data suggest rising average temperatures will mean more frequent extreme weather events.

"Particularly events like heat waves," he said. "And of course with all of this goes sea level rise which is pretty important to the New York/New Jersey area. With sea level rise, climate change is essentially exacerbating the impact of any sort of coastal flooding event from a storm, so that's the sort of thing that's really quite important to our region. "

New York matches the overall global climate departure date of 2047. Tropical areas are expected to hit departure much earlier, with Indonesia reaching it as soon as seven years from now.

Editors:

Patricia Willens

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