Isaac Asimov's 2014 Predictions, Today
Monday, January 13, 2014
In 1964, science fiction writer Isaac Asimov wrote predictions for what life would be like in 2014. Matt Novak, writer of the Paleofuture blog for gizmodo.com, talks about what Asimov got right and wrong, and what it tells us about paleofuturism 50 years later.
→ Tomorrow, Matt returns to assess your predictions for life in 2064. Start posting them here now.
Some of Asimov's 1964 Predictions About 2014
- “In 2014, there is every likelihood that the world population will be 6,500,000,000 and the population of the United States will be 350,000,000.”
- “The screen can be used not only to see the people you call but also for studying documents and photographs and reading passages from books.”
- “Conversations with the moon will be a trifle uncomfortable, but the way, in that 2.5 seconds must elapse between statement and answer (it takes light that long to make the round trip). Similar conversations with Mars will experience a 3.5-minute delay even when Mars is at its closest.”
- “The world of A.D. 2014 will have few routine jobs that cannot be done better by some machine than by any human being. Mankind will therefore have become largely a race of machine tenders.”
- “Much effort will be put into the designing of vehicles with ‘Robot-brains” – vehicles that can be set for particular destinations and that will then proceed there without interference by the slow reflexes of the human driver.”