Poll Readers Beware

Friday, August 30, 2013

Polling in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary as of August 30th, as viewed in the WNYC Mayor Tracker (WNYC Mayor Tracker)

Greg David, director of the Business and Economic Reporting Program at CUNY Journalism School, contributor to Crain's New York Business and author of Modern New York: The Life and Economics of a City (Palgrave Macmillan, April 2012), says the results of pre-election polls for local races need to be taken with a grain of salt. He also explains their spotty track records in predicting results.


Greg David

Comments [6]

For all the problems with Quinn's /substance/, the more I've heard her speak, the more I feel she may have the most colorful /personality/ of any of any the contenders on the Democratic side. Would certainly be a refreshing change from the scintilating Bloomberg (although that could probaly be said that *any* of the candidates...).

Since their positions (on at least abortion and buggery) make none of the candidates options for me, I'm rooting for whoever will provide the best political theater. (Jimmy McMillan, of course, but of the ones who stand a chance...)

Aug. 30 2013 10:55 AM
Amy from Manhattan

If the polls become self-fulfilling prophecies, shouldn't that make them more accurate than Mr. David is saying they are?

Aug. 30 2013 10:40 AM





Greg David, yet again?!?! Why does this hack always get rolled out by WNYC?? Brian, please try something/one new!!

Aug. 30 2013 10:37 AM
antonio from baySide

Just ask Nate. David has a right to his opinion, but he's in the tank for a Bloomberg disciple..(i.e. Lhota).

Aug. 30 2013 10:35 AM
Tom Crisp from UWS

Last week (or the week before) we had a Tuesday poll that put DiBlasio in the lead, and a Wednesday one that named Quinn at the top.

The takeaway here is that the polls are too many, too frequent, too mercurial to trust.

Aug. 30 2013 10:32 AM

"Polls are like expensive perfume: Pleasant to smell, dangerous to swallow." - Saw attributed to Israeli Pres. Shimon Peres.

Aug. 30 2013 10:02 AM

Leave a Comment

Email addresses are required but never displayed.

Get the WNYC Morning Brief in your inbox.
We'll send you our top 5 stories every day, plus breaking news and weather.