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Tuesday, April 07, 2009

New York Times national political correspondent Adam Nagourney talks about the latest NYT/CBS poll, showing some optimism about the economy.

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Adam Nagourney

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Comments [4]

Norman from Manhattan

New York City used to have a free City university, public housing, and a hospital system that treated the poor free.

Perhaps if we went back in that direction, New York City would be more liveable.

Apr. 07 2009 10:50 AM
ceolaf from brooklyn


Brian,

I think that you naively misread the Pew Poll. It does NOT show that Obama is a polarizing figure. Quite the opposite, in fact.

It's all about looking at the opposition party. When there is a decline in self-described Republicans, those who are left are harder-core Republicans -- the same it true of Democrats, of course.

So, one would expect the popularity of the Democratic leader among self-described Republicans to go down when that group is declining in number. That's NOT a function of anyone in that group changing their mind. Rather, it is a function of the changing composition of the group.

The bleed of self-described members of the opposition party into the self-described independents or even self-described members of the president's party is a sign of a unifying, even though it indirectly causes his popularity RATING to be lower among those that remain than among the original larger group.

This is not to say that this data precludes the possibility of a polarizing president. It is possible that those who remain individually become increasingly unhappy with the president. But this kind of poll does not supply information to support that conclusion.

In other words, we know that 25% of the population will love the president, and 25% will hate hate hate the president. A popular president will cause the latter group to dominate their party in a way than unpopular president will not. But that doesn't mean that he is any more a polarizing figure. Instead, it's just a function of how the middle 50% feels about the president.

Apr. 07 2009 10:39 AM
mc from Brooklyn

hjs,
I hope we get some new ones. The old ones look tired.

Apr. 07 2009 10:20 AM
hjs from 11211

are we living though a politician realignment. what new political parties will grow out of these times?

Apr. 07 2009 10:08 AM

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