(Andrea Bernstein, Transportation Nation) 2008 was a watershed year for transit in the U.S. -- as gas prices approached $5 a gallon many Americans switched to transit for many trips. Cities like Charlotte, Denver, and Phoenix were adding capacity, and suddenly riding on a train and checking your email began to seem like a better idea than cursing traffic. But then the economy tanked, fewer people had jobs to go to, and trips on all modes, including transit,plummeted.
That may be changing. The American Public Transit Association is reporting that transit trips ticked up by 0.1 percent in the second quarter of 2010. APTA says that may be because the economy is actually shivering to life. "History shows that as the economy grows, public transit ridership tends to increase. This rise in ridership offers a glimmer of hope that we may be coming out of the economic recession and ridership will continue to move upward.”
Still -- the federal government has yet to come up with a plan to fund transportation on a continuing basis, the President's labor day plan to spend $50 billion on roads, rails, and airports is stalled, and local transit systems are slashing capacity. One of the largest transit expansion plans in the nation -- the ARC trans-Hudson tunnel from New Jersey to New York, may be on the brink of going on permanent hold.
With this backdrop, can any one lay out a scenario where transit capacity is ready to capture a desire by commuters to leave their cars?