Success and Failure

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Nate Silver looks at what makes some predictions accurate while others fail. Sociologist Vivian Louie on how Latino immigrants are adapting to American schools, jobs, and culture. John Banville discusses his latest novel, Ancient Light. And the former President of Colombia, Álvaro Uribe Velez, talks about leading the country’s transformation from what some called a “failed state” to a stable, modern democracy.