Election 2012: This Week's Battle Lines

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Election, Red State, Blue State, Vote, Democrat, Republican The 2008 presidential election map, showing electoral tendency by shade of purple. (M. E. J. Newman)

Sean Trende, senior elections analyst at RealClearPolitics and author of Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs - and Who Will Take It, discusses the issues and trends to keep an eye on in the Obama-Romney race, from the gender gap to the continuing fight over long-term debt and tax rates.


Sean Trende

Comments [10]

Huck from Manhattan

instead of pledging money to NYC call your city council brain dead and tell them to restore the money Guiliani took away from NYC ....or call Buffalo Bill Bloomberg and tell him to get NYC to pay up

May. 16 2012 11:49 AM
Gerald Fnord from Palos Verdes,Ca.

My apologies for double-posting as I just did in two, separate, pages---the "Lazarus" form-rememberer add-on recalled an earlier comment text when I asked it to recall my address, and I did not see the change.

What I _wanted_ to post on this page was a request for a link to a map similar to the one above but with brightness or state area distorted according to population density or electoral votes---there's a lot of 'red' where very few people live, I think Manhattan or King's would be larger than Montana then....

May. 16 2012 11:22 AM
Gerald Fnord from Palos Verdes, Ca.

The parts of the brain that parse and generate meaning from images are different to the ones that deal with words, and (in my arrogant and correct opinion) inferior in that they are less intimately acquainted than logic---you can show bikini'd models next to slobs drinking beer and some deep part in the male brain will conclude that you can be a snob and still pull bikini'd models, with all the certainty that back on the Serengeti told you that everything you saw were true.

Words, or course, can be used to emotionally manipulate---viz esp. "snarl" words like 'bizarre', 'Socialist', 'Fascist', 'Kenyan', 'plutocrat', 'European' which attempt to supervene rational thought through the provocation of hatred---but they at least can be looked-at one-by-one, parsed, and (ultimately) checked to see if they make sense when put together.

Our political decline is directly correlated with the rise of the Image as the dominant means of persuasion. Both parties are guilty of it, given that it is effective, but I think the Right do it more, because 0.) I don't like the Right, biasing my perception, and 1.) the modern Right privilege the gut-brain over the neo-cortex...but I fully expect the Obama campaign---centrists in any event---to use as much negative gut-response to Romney as they can....

May. 16 2012 11:17 AM
Lela from nyc

most boring election season e-v-e-r. (this interview sadly echoes that sentiment.)

May. 16 2012 10:20 AM
john from office

HELLO, Obama will win this election. Think about it, in a bad economy, he as a sitting president, polls high. Romney is a stuffed suit, a robot, that will say anything to get elected. Read about him bullying his class mates and teachers, he is a soulless prince. Sorry mean rich kid is not winning.

May. 16 2012 10:18 AM
Smokey from LES

Why is it that these days no matter who's running or what the issues are, we split almost 50/50?

May. 16 2012 10:17 AM
The Truth from Becky

The poll is not to be trusted, romney is NOT winning women over, there are a lot of women voters who still think he is a jerk without concern for female issues.

May. 16 2012 10:10 AM
Laura from UWS

Polite Request:
Less "horse race" and more POLICY ISSUES, please.

Thank you.

May. 16 2012 10:10 AM
Martin Chuzzlewit from Manhattan

“If the same percentage of adults were in the workforce today as when Barack Obama took office, the unemployment rate would be 11.1 percent. If the percentage was where it was when George W. Bush took office, the unemployment rate would be 13.1 percent.”

Ezra Klein's Wonkblog (!!!!) Wash Post May 4, 2012

May. 16 2012 07:45 AM
Ed from Larchmont

And the pro-life voting block, which will vote for Romney (or anyone else).

May. 16 2012 06:04 AM

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