Only six points separates Republican Carl Paladino and Democrat Andrew Cuomo in the New York governor's race, according to a Quinnipiac poll of likely voters released this morning.
Cuomo leads Paladino 49-43 percent. While both candidates have stressed their independence from Albany's political establishment, Paladino, a commercial real estate developer from Buffalo leads Cuomo, the state's attorney general, among independent voters, 49-43 percent.
Also, Paladino voters seem more dedicated to voting for him, than Cuomo voters.
From the poll's crosstabs:
1a. (If candidate choice q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
Made up / Might Change
It's worth noting that the poll is based on responses from "likely voters," while other polls released by Quinnipiac, Siena and other outlets often use "registered voters," which is a lower standard for respondents to meet. The other "registered voters" polls have Cuomo leading by as much as 16 points over Paladino.
This poll was conducted with responses from 751 likely voters and has a margin of error of 3.6 percent.