From the press announcement from the Democratic polling firm Global Strategy Group:
If the upcoming special election for Congress in New York’s Ninth District was held today, Democrat David Weprin would defeat Republican Bob Turner and hold the seat for his party, according to our latest poll of 400 likely special election voters in the district. The poll was conducted August 30-31, 2011 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.
Weprin Leading and Nearing Majority Support
Democrat David Weprin currently leads Republican Bob Turner by an eight-point margin, 47% to 39%, with 14% still undecided in the special election contest.
Weprin Ahead Despite Being Less Known
Turner is familiar to 66% of voters in the district thanks to his previous run for the seat, with 40% rating him favorably and 26% unfavorably. Weprin is familiar to fewer voters (59%), with 35% rating him favorably and 24% unfavorably.
District Prefers Democrat as Representative
By a wide, 14-point margin, voters here prefer a generic Democratic candidate for Congress (46%) over a generic Republican candidate (32%).
This poll follows up from the Republican polling released yesterday that showed the race tied. National Democratic congressional spokesperson Josh Schwerin had this to say:
This poll confirms what we always knew, voters are rejecting Bob Turner’s radical agenda of cutting Medicare and Social Security and leaving 9/11 volunteers out in the cold, while protecting tax breaks for millionaires and billionaires.