Track: Missouri Primary Returns

Tuesday, February 07, 2012

The map on this page shows not only who’s winning in each of the state’s 114 counties, but, using Patchwork Nation, it shows how the candidates are doing in each of Missouri’s eight types of county – from the wealthy Monied Burbs to the rural agricultural Tractor Country counties. It will fill in with data as the results from the primary comes in.

What to Look for in Missouri

Missouri is a “beauty contest” where no delegates will be awarded. It is also a primary vote, which tends to favor candidates that have strong built-in bases of voters – bases like, say, socially conservative evangelical voters. This should not be a good state for Romney. Look at the map below and you will see a lot of yellow marking the counties Patchwork Nation calls the Evangelical Epicenters.

The real question out of Missouri may be whom the voters in those yellow counties get behind on Tuesday night. Evangelical voters have not been good for Romney and Patchwork Nation knows from its visits to southern Missouri in 2008 that there are some who say they won’t back Romney because he is a Mormon.

But if the voters in the Epicenters don’t go for Romney do they get behind Santorum? Santorum has the backing of Christian conservative leaders, but Tuesday will mark the first real test of this territory with a large number of counties falling into this type.




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