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May 12, 2008 | 46°F rain; mist

The Brian Lehrer Show

Bursting Bubbles

William Fleckenstein, president of Fleckenstein Capital, MSN Money columnist and author, with Fred Sheehan, of Greenspan's Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve (McGraw-Hill, 2008), discusses the economy and Fed policy.

Bill Fleckenstein at MSN Money
Fleckenstein Capital


Listener Comments Comment | Refresh | Back to Episode
[1]
Posted by: superf88
March 24, 2008 - 08:08AM

Seems U.S.' relation to capitalism turns out to be roughly uncannily parallel to China's relation to democracy...

[2]
Posted by: robert wong
March 24, 2008 - 09:35AM
nyc

Can Bill tell me who owns those trillion dollars of foreign currency reserve in China. It is my understanding that Greenspan provided the liquidity in the economy. That reserve really belong to all the foreign investors from USA, Europe, Hong Kong, Japan and Taiwan. Why do we think it is China's money?

[3]
Posted by: eCAHNomics
March 24, 2008 - 09:45AM

Ex-Fed governor, Lawrence Meyer, told me that Greenspan was intellectually opposed to the Fed's considering asset price bubbles in the conduct of monetary policy, but the Fed should be there to help the economy once the bubble burst. (I have been told that Meyer wrote this in his memoir, but I haven't read the book http://www.amazon.com/Term-Fed-Insiders-View/dp/B0009K769Y/ref=sr_1_4?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1206366165&sr=1-4)

Comments from the author?

[4]
Posted by: LevineJJ
March 24, 2008 - 10:11AM

Rather than finance it, why didn't the Fed simply facilitate the sale of Bear Stearns to the highest bidder, within a given time frame?

Heaven knows the firm's present and future value is higher than the amount the Fed set via its financing...real estate alone...

[5]
Posted by: MrIRemember
March 24, 2008 - 10:24AM

So whose briefcase is MSN Money watching NOW?

[6]
Posted by: eCAHNomics
March 24, 2008 - 10:27AM

Well inflation of goods & services WAS under control in the 1990s. So why did excess monetary stimulus show up in asset prices inflation instead of inflation in goods & services?

[7]
Posted by: jjl
March 24, 2008 - 10:31AM

What is the safest currency -- even safer than gold? (Commodities are just contracts)

[8]
Posted by: eCAHNomics
March 24, 2008 - 10:31AM

So this guy seems to think that instead of inflation "eatig eople alive," it ought to be unemployment that eats them alive.

This guy is full of sooooo many incorrect and incoherent ways of looking at things, I have much better stuff to do than to listen.

[9]
Posted by: Jonathan
March 24, 2008 - 10:57AM
Manhattan

I support congestion pricing - if only to alleviate traffic in midtown at rush hour. I cannot believe there are a huge number of people who commute to mid- or downtown manhattan.

[10]
Posted by: James
March 24, 2008 - 11:01AM
New York

This crisis was largely a consequence of the failure of financial market regulators to impose higher margin requirements (downpayments) on real estate speculators (both institutional & individual) in combination with the emergence of so-called financial "innovations" such as mortgage securitization whereby there was a severance of loan origination & holding (resulting in an inevitable increase of imprudent risky real estate lending). If I make my money (via brokerage fees) solely by using your money to make loans to others I have no interest in how risky the loans are or become. To the extent that I can mask (via "securitization innovation") the increasingly risky nature of the loans I broker with your money, a no-margin requirement (no payment down) cycle feeding on ever-increasing real estate value bubble is created which must inevitably self-destruct. This Ponzi finance dynamic can be nipped in the bud in several ways - including stiff margin requirements for mortagages which inhibit such speculation as well as better regulation for transparency in "securitization". The regulators - the Fed, SEC, Treasury were asleep at the switch. Now we must all pay the price if the real economy tanks. As Keynes understood, radical laissez-faire, especially in financial market regulation leads to occassionally profound cyclical instability's which are the greatest threats to free markets & trade. Prudent interventionism is fundamental to long term financial & economic stability.

[11]
Posted by: rich
March 24, 2008 - 11:57AM
ridgewood nj

After the commercial real estate bubble of the early '90's burst, I was involved in providing quarterly research to the fed that would provide early warning of pending new bubbles. By its early warning nature, the research data was coarse because it was impossible to assemble the tradeable time series data that far in advance. I understood myself to be one of many- on a national scale providing information across asset classes. Pending trigger points were identified and followed up.

[12]
Posted by: jjl
March 24, 2008 - 09:27PM

those interested in this type of info are advised to listen to Bloomberg On The Economy, Tom Keene -- on par w this program, rare praise indeed.

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