On Demand
Are You the One? Polling New York & New Jersey
Wednesday, January 09, 2008
Peter J. Woolley, professor of Comparative Politics at Fairleigh Dickinson University and executive director of The PublicMind, and Lee Miringoff, director of The Marist Institute for Public Opinion, review the New Hampshire results and look ahead to February 5th.
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NH DELEGATE COUNT: OBAMA 12, CLINTON 11
Don't overplay New Hampshire.
No one is more surprised by this this than Hillary Clinton, whose campaign, according to the New York Times, was projecting a 14-point loss, at the start of yesterday's voting.
The fact is, Clinton is barely more than 2 and a half points ahead of Obama, with 2% of precincts yet to report.
And by one measure -- delegates -- Obama actually WON New Hampshire.
Both Obama and Clinton were awarded 9 delegates, based on last night's results.
But Obama has 3 NH superdelegates, compared to Clinton's 2 -- meaning that Obama has 12 total delegates from New Hampshire, compared with Clinton's 11.
The media wants Obama and refuse to believe there are a lot of people who do not want someone who does not have enough experience.
Why does everyone assume the discrepency between the New Hampshire vote count and the 9 polls has to be because the polls were in error?
Why is no one asking if the polls might be correct but the Diebolt voting machines were not delivering correct voting data?
These are a model of voting machine that the State of California has rejected for software bugs and tampering vulnerability.
And it has already been established that Republican contributors have been backing Hillary because they think she will be easy to defeat by whatever swift-boating they have planned.
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