Juan Cole, professor of modern Middle East and South Asian History at the University of Michigan and author of the blog Informed Comment, and Michael Hirsh, senior editor and author of a weekly column on Newsweek.com, talk about what victory means in Iraq and the significance of the troop withdrawal announcement.
Comments [45]
To the Beach Boys tune:
Bomb, bomb, bomb
Bomb, bomb Iran.
Bomb, bomb, bomb
Bomb, bomb Iran.
victory for me is our government learned the lesson that Iraq war is disaster for the country, and avoid to start another war(the war against Iran which already got the approval from our congress, the new war may start any day). Now we see the same pre-war talk when government sold us the Iraq War. I want to see our candidates to raise the issue and stop the new war from happening. Because any war cost lives and money. When an unnecessary war started, there is no victory, only a different degree of casualties.
The crisis of unemployment and poverty in America is staggering. Yet, the White House Unveils $1 Billion Georgia. Bush is switching our troops to Afghanistan, and if you want to know why "It's about the Oil, Stupid" People please wake-up and know that Obama will not win this race, he is too clean, to carry on the dirty relationship, that America started 60 years ago with Oil. They will either rob him, of his votes, or cheat. Nonethless, someone like McCain and Palin, are just the perfect pair to carry on this type of policy for America... Please watch "Michael T. Klare "Blood and Oil' or read. This is not some crackpot idea.America wake up!!!But then,only New Yorkers are reading this...or those that have access,
Brian,
After the Dems blow this slam dunk election, will you please have some more shows about blue-state secession? Those were great shows in 2004. There are few things funnier than listening to than the ravings of the netroots fringe. Thanks in advance.
Victory is:
No terrorist attacks in the US.
Elimination of Sadam Hussein.
Stabilization of Iraq
Control of the Shiite militias
Improved economy of Iraq
By those standards we’re 90% of the way there.
@ #25 Marc good point! Is Victory different Mission Accomplished??? I'm confused.
I'm more fascinated by the term "return" as in "return on success." Return?? That's business-speak. Return on Investment. Tax Return. Dividends, Profits, Futures. For the past several years they've been applying the business model to everything: Churches, Schools, War. I guess it's what we as Americans have come to respect above everything else: Business. Which makes me look at the wisdom and success, or return on success, of the pillars of the business world, like our banks and other lending institutions...
Everything depends on how you ask a question. If Obama is asked how to define victory in Iraq, and then goes on to explain why that concept isn't an appropriate one, how is it that he has not answered the question? Isn't rephrasing the question sometimes the only way to answer it? How can there be "victory" when the goal of this war started out as a lie, and then continually shape-shifted over the last 5 years? I am sick of the media trying to fit complex situations into sound bites. It does a disservice to us all. I am hearing it more and more on WNYC, and it is very distressing.
victory is a moving target. once it was just to remove Saddam and his chemical and biological weapons. Then it was to eliminate the terrorist threat it posed, then it was to establish a free society. Now we simply want a self-ruled country, with relative peace, so we can slip out the back door, and later blame the puppet gov't we established, for whatever it's future mistakes (or demise) may be. This certainly won't be a country of religious freedom, freedom for women, nor a bastion of integrated democracy in the Middle East.
I agree with rick #8 and the truth in a couple of posts: victory is meaningless. Starting the war in the first place is akin to driving a car of a cliff, now it's done, can't be undone - how do you get "victory" from that?
I wish that Obama could figure out how to say this in a way that won't hurt him politically, because I believe that is what he really thinks.
Victory cannot be defined because there were never any clear objectives to begin with.
No notion of some sort of victory in Iraq is a red herring that the Republicans are attempting to sell, right there alongside their whole platform of fear.
Anyway, wasn't victory already achieved back when "Mission Accomplished" was declared on that aircraft carrier?
"reconciliation" is not a word in the American political landscape. The only way America knows how to cope, heal or learn is by invasive, degrading means.
Victory in Iraq = no Iran supporting violence in Iraq. What happen to Iran in this equation? Deal my Adminsitration to show success to influnce election?
Brian, clearly you are unable or unwilling to hide your disdain for Senator Obama, but this is not a WIN/LOSE situation. We did not enter this situation with clean hands so to speak.
Bush and Cheney's victory is that massive amounts of cash have been transferred from the Treausury to the private sector and that mercenaries are now necessary to war-fighting. The military has been stretched and nearly destroyed - s0 who you gonna call?
America gets into trouble because its leaders are too provincial. President Bush never had the curiosity to travel. Obama had never been to continental Europe until his recent trip. Palin has only recently gotten a passport (80% don't have passports). The FBI has only a handful of Arabic speakers. No wonder America gets into trouble abroad.
Cesear was victorius after all Gaul was didvided into three parts. Victory in Iraq will occur when all Iraq is divided into three parts for each sect.
I left an important one out.
Victory might mean Iraq as a stable democracy that makes democracy appear attractive to people throughout the region without democracy.
(If this is democracy, it certainly make democracy look less appealing to the rest of the region.)
Better in Iraq and getting better and victory for the US in the same sentence is ABSURD!
There can be no victory! Bring all of the troops home, NOW!
Under the circumstances, true victory would seem to consist of complete restoration of the infrastructure, with a thriving economy and prosperity for all citizens. Wait a minute! Are we talking about Iraq or the US? Maybe we can achieve both expeditiously! Yeah, OK!!!
The definition of victory, in Iraq specifically, is highly driven by why the US went into Iraq in the frist place and whether there may have been an alternative. If someone could define that for me, I could personally could have a definition of victory. As it stands, numerous lives have been lost, too many families have been shattered, people's homes have been ruined, the US has been shamed to the point that traveling abroad is embarassing for our citizens, countries hate us, corruption has set in there in Iraq, and the US is out of billions of dollars that could have been better invested. I don't call that victorius. If we could claim victory, it would mean that we could pull out altogether.
mostly agree with Juan Cole, but I just have to point out that he dismisses the danger of "national liberation movements" too quickly. In 1992 the Taliban and Al-Qaeda were national liberation movements.
This discussion of victory is COMPLETELY the wrong way to frame the issue. You're falling victim to the current administration's way of thinking. I'm very disappointed in you today Mr. Lehrer. Obama was essentially saying - there is no victory - that doesn't mean we lose, it means victory is the absolutley wrong way to think about it.
Victory would seem to imply that Iraq was better off than they were before our invasion. Better off for Iraqis and/or the US. Before the war, Iraq was a stable largely secular country. They were a counter to Iranian power regionally. They were contained by sanctions. They had ZERO radical Islamist connections.
Victory would be an improvement on that. As such, victory is impossible at this point.
You don't eliminate terrorist groups, you make them irrelevant. I'd love to know if anyone in the current administration or indeed any politican has spoken at any length to the British and Irish governments about how the IRA was "defeated".
Victory in Iraq means getting all our troops out and leaving the Iraquis to define their own democracy instead of the one that US has tried to stuff down their throats.
Brain,
Can you hide you love for McCain?
Just endorse him already.
Isn't it funny that it is always better in Iraq and getting better; but never good enough to bring home our troops, stop funneling our money or take a chance on the Democrats. We have been on this phony knife edge for 5 years. Light at the end of the tunnel? November 2nd there will be light at the end of the tunnel.
My definition of "victory" would be that of this misguided administration back when they lied and cajoled the country into an unnecessary war: Regime change and elimination of WMD. By their own definition, we "won" this war 4 years ago. All we've had since then has been inneptitude, thievery and death.
Victory would mean leaving Iraq better than we found it. Is that possible?
Less a haven for terrorists than before? (Certainly not possible.)
Fewer weapons of mass destruction than before? (Fewer than zero?)
Less a danger to the United States? (Probably not.)
A stable modern cohesive state? (It's hard to imagine a cohesive state emerging.)
A modern liberal pluralist democracy? (It seems to be Balkinizing and becoming less tolerant, so not likely at all.)
Is victory possible? I don't think so.
Victory needs to be that Iraq reaches a point where they can take care of themselves and their people, and not be mired in a mess that we have exacerbated.
If they want us out, why not have them pay to have our troops continue?
We are continuing to spend billions and not only are they in trouble, but so are we.
This withdrawal of American troops will do nothing to change the fundamental situation on the ground in Iraq. The US military is there to prop up the Iraqi government which the Bush Administration helped to put in place to protect their interests. Bush is only interested in trying to save his legacy as the most incompetent President this country has ever had by removing troops before he leaves office at the end of the year.
I think the definition will elude us, but I am quite sure that whenever an Obama presidency chooses to withdraw it will be denounced as 'cut-and-run', or 'giving up Iraq to Al-Qaeda' by the right wing, whereas if a McCain administration leaves at the the same time it'll be hailed as a victory regardless.
This is another lame attempt by bush to try to distract. Fact is that we were involved in an unjust war there can be NO victory.
Success to this administration seems to be more cheaper oil. These wars will go down in history as the oil wars. Sucess to me is complete pull out of american troops and supplying iraq with investments to rebuild. Iraq will not collapse after americans leave, do not forget they had a seudo normal life before americans got there.
I’ve been confused about the use of the term “victory” for some time, and I welcome this discussion. It seems to me that military victory in Iraq is impossible. The only success that I can imagine is escaping from this conflict with no more casualties.
It is not for Senator Obama to declare what "victory" means to him Brian, when he is clearly stating, once again, in that clip you played, that he didn't think we should have been there in the first place!
there is no "victory" in Iraq. this is the wrong question- there is only limiting damage.
Victory means ending American deaths in Iraq.
Troops Home Now!!!!
Haven't we already failed in Iraq by every standard laid out in 2003? Wouldn't any favorable outcome simply be "not catastrophe?"
I would define victory in Iraq by the quality of life of Iraqis - is it better there for them now, after this war, than it was before?
First we couldn't leave because it was too violent. Now we can't leave because it's not violent anymore.
Victory means stopping turning Bush's mess over the Iraqis as quickly as possible ... those poor people. We destroyed their country.
So in other words the Surge hasn't really changed much of the fundamental problems that Iraq faces. Can someone please let McCain know this.
Could you ask Juan Cole what he thinks of that Los Angeles Times story which said that Venezuela's ties with Iran would help Hezbollah advance terrorism in the American hemisphere?
He's an expert on this.
Steve Coll, the New Yorker profiler of Gen. Petraeus, says that Petraeus never uses the word "victory."
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